The Arizona State Sun Devils and Texas Longhorns will face off Monday night in a non‑conference showdown at the Maui Invitational. Both teams are 4-1 to start this season and Texas is favored as they try to continue their strong start to the season. Before this matchup begins from Hawai'i, you will find my Arizona State vs Texas prediction below.
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Texas enters this game as a clear favorite, thanks to a deep frontcourt anchored by Matas Vokietaitis. The big man is averaging 16 points per game on extremely efficient shooting, and his presence on the boards gives Texas a physical edge against most opponents. The Longhorn rotation also includes emerging sharpshooter Cam Heide, who exploded for 20 points (6-of-9 from deep) in a recent win. That type of spacing is invaluable when paired with the size of Vokietaitis.
Arizona State is led by guard Maurice Odum, who averages 14.8 points and 7.2 assists per game. He’s the engine of ASU’s offense, but the Sun Devils lack dominant size inside and rely more on penetration, perimeter shooting, and defensive hustle. Secondary contributors like Massamba Diop (13.6 PPG) and Bryce Ford give ASU some scoring depth, but they may struggle to match up with Texas’ physicality on the boards and in the paint.
Score Projection: Arizona State 75 – Texas 82
Win Probability: Arizona State 23%, Texas 77%
Texas has the size, the depth, and the recent form to control this game. Their frontcourt advantage, combined with the emergence of Cam Heide as a legitimate shooter, should allow them to cover a 6.5‑point spread on a neutral court. But my best bet is instead for this game to go over the total. Both of these teams have offensive firepower that should help the game to go over the number, in what should be a very entertaining finale for the day from the Maui Invitational.
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