Arizona and Baylor will face off in a Big 12 college basketball game on Tuesday night in Waco. The Wildcats are ranked second in the country and coming off back-to-back wins over highly-ranked opponents. They will look for a third win in a row over a Baylor team that is looking for a second straight victory here. Before this contest begins in Texas, you can find my Arizona vs Baylor prediction below.
Our Arizona vs Baylor Pick
Pick: Under 154.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Arizona Wildcats @ Baylor Bears
Date & Time: Tuesday, February 24, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Foster Pavilion, Waco, Texas
Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
Arizona is one of the elite teams in the country, boasting a 25‑2 record and a top‑5 ranking in the national polls amid Big 12 competition. They have beaten BYU and Houston over their last two games and will try to get another impressive road win in this game.
Baylor’s season has been up and down. The Bears are barely above .500 overall and have struggled in conference games, with a 4‑10 Big 12 record. A home victory over Arizona would be a statement, but consistency has been elusive for the Bears.
Baylor eked out a 73‑68 win over Arizona State in its latest outing, showing scoring depth that they will need to replicate in this game. Arizona’s win over Houston highlighted its ability to close out high‑pressure Big 12 contests.
Key Players
Baylor Bears
Cameron Carr – The Bears’ leading scorer at roughly 18.7 points per game and about 5.7 rebounds, Carr’s offensive output is key to keeping Baylor competitive.
Tounde Yessoufou – Averaging around 18.4 points and contributing defensive pressure with steals, Yessoufou gives Baylor additional scoring punch.
Obi Agbim – Recent production of 16 points on efficient shooting and clutch threes in Baylor’s win over ASU indicates Agbim’s potential to impact this game if he finds rhythm again.
Arizona Wildcats
Anthony Dell’Orso – Dell’Orso’s recent performances, including consecutive 22‑point games, have been a spark for Arizona on offense, especially with Koa Peat missing time.
Tobe Awaka – Arizona’s rebounding machine, contributing around 9.4 boards per game, anchors the Wildcats on the glass and sets up second‑chance opportunities.
Jaden Bradley – A key playmaker for Arizona, Bradley’s recent scoring and assist contributions help keep the Wildcats’ offense fluid.
Stat Comparison
Arizona
Baylor
Points per game
87.2
82.6
Points allowed per game
68.5
76.3
Team Field Goal %
50%
48%
Rebounds per game
43.4
37.5
Assists per game
17.4
15.6
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
This is the first meeting between Arizona and Baylor this season.
Arizona is 15-11-1 against the spread going into this contest.
Baylor is 10-16 against the spread entering Tuesday night's action.
Arizona vs Baylor Model Projection
Score Projection: Arizona 79 – Baylor 70 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Arizona 81%, Baylor 19% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
Arizona is the better team here, but the point spread is big enough to give me pause about betting on them. Instead, I'm going to bet the under here, as Arizona's dynamic offense could be in for a bit of a letdown after two huge wins, while Baylor's offense hasn't been impressive in the least throughout this season.
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