Two explosive Big 12 offenses collide as BYU heads to Waco to face Baylor in a game that should feature pace, spacing, and plenty of shot-making. BYU arrives on a disappointing four-game losing streak, while Baylor just went toe-to-toe with Iowa State in Ames and nearly stole one late against the Cyclones. Before this big game in the Big 12, I've got you covered with my BYU vs Baylor prediction on Tuesday night.
Our BYU vs Baylor Pick
Pick: Baylor +3.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: BYU Cougars @ Baylor Bears
Date & Time: Tuesday, February 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Foster Pavilion, Waco, Texas
Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
Recent form: BYU has hit a skid, falling to Houston 77-66 on Saturday and dropping to 17-6 overall and 5-5 in league play. They might have the best player in the nation in AJ Dybantsa, but he and his supporting cast need to step up to put an end to this losing streak and to get back on track.
Baylor’s last time out was a road defeat at No. 7 Iowa State by a score of 72-69. That showed that Baylor has plenty of defensive fight, though their offense needs to be better in clutch time against similarly strong opponents.
Star power: BYU’s freshman phenom AJ Dybantsa is averaging 24.0 points per game and is one of the best scorers in America right now. Baylor counters with dynamic scoring from Cameron Carr at 19.6 points per game.
Engines at guard: BYU’s Robert Wright III and Baylor’s Obi Agbim lead their respective teams in assists. Wright is averaging 5.0 assists per game, while Agbim is averaging 3.4 assists per contest.
Both of these teams are .500 or worse in Big Ten play so far this season. That puts a ton of pressure for them to deliver in this game, as failure to show up here could make it tougher for them to make the NCAA Tournament.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Past meetings: BYU beat Baylor 93-89 in overtime on January 28, 2025, in Provo. But this is going to be the first meeting between them this season.
Baylor is 10-12 against the spread so far this season.
BYU is 9-14 against the spread entering Tuesday night's action.
Baylor is 11-11 in the over/under market this year.
The under is 12-11 in BYU's games for the year.
BYU vs Baylor Model Projection
Score Projection: BYU 77 – Baylor 78
Win Probability: BYU 48%, Baylor 52%
Final Thoughts
I think we are in for an extremely close matchup between these two teams on Tuesday night. I am taking the points with Baylor, as this looks like a one-possession game in either direction. But it's entirely possible to me that Baylor wins this game outright as an underdog and extends BYU's losing streak to five straight games.
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