The Denver Pioneers are on the road to battle the Omaha Mavericks in a Summit League contest that is important to both teams at this stage of the season. Both teams enter Sunday’s game at 13-14 overall with identical 6-6 conference records and are navigating seasons where consistency has been elusive. Only one of these teams can get above the .500 mark in conference play this season. Who will that be? Find out below as I bring you my Denver vs Omaha prediction in college basketball.
Our Denver vs Omaha Pick
Pick: Omaha Mavericks -2.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Denver Pioneers @ Omaha Mavericks
Date & Time: Sunday, February 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Baxter Arena, Omaha, Nebraska
Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Key Storylines
Denver has hit a nice rhythm of late, winning 4 of its last 5 games and showing improved offensive balance. Carson Johnson has been a key contributor, scoring 23 points in the Pioneers’ recent win over South Dakota State, and he leads Denver with a steady scoring average of 19.6 points per game. Zane Nelson has also provided strong scoring support in recent contests. Omaha’s consistency at Baxter Arena has been a strength, but Denver will try to disrupt that to get a fourth win in a row.
The Mavericks are 8-4 at home, and Tony Osburn has been an important presence, averaging 13.1 points per game so far this season. Omaha defeated St. Thomas in a 98-94 thriller on Thursday, in a game where their offense was impressive, but their defense showed plenty of cracks.
Both teams are shooting well from beyond the arc and will look to use their perimeter attacks to break defensive pressure. The offensive pace and scoring ability of both teams make this one of the more intriguing Summit League clashes of the weekend.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Omaha is 16-12 all-time against Denver going into this contest.
Omaha defeated Denver 84-82 in their first meeting of the season in Denver back in January.
Denver is 15-8-1 against the spread so far this season.
Omaha comes into this contest with an 11-12 record against the spread for the year.
The over is 19-4-1 in Denver's games this year. They have the highest over percentage in Division I men's basketball this season.
The over is 13-10 in Omaha's games this season.
Denver vs Omaha Model Projection
Score Projection: Denver 79 – Omaha 84 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Denver 46%, Omaha 54% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
This should be another evenly matched and high-scoring contest in the Summit League. I lean toward Omaha as the best choice to win and cover the spread on their home floor. The Mavericks are 8-4 at home so far this year. While Denver has won three straight games coming into this matchup, Omaha should be able to get the job done on their home floor in what should be a fun game to watch in Nebraska.
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