The Indiana Hoosiers and the Minnesota Golden Gophers will face off Wednesday night, as Indiana begins Big Ten play ranked in the top 25 with a perfect 7-0 record. They head into hostile territory at Williams Arena in Minneapolis for this game. Minnesota is 4-4 and aims to end a three-game losing streak as conference play begins. Here, I break down this matchup in college basketball and bring you my Indiana vs Minnesota prediction.
Our Indiana vs Minnesota Pick
- Pick: Indiana –10.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Hoosiers @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Date & Time: December 3, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Williams Arena, Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Broadcast: Big Ten Network
Indiana vs Minnesota Odds
| Odds |
|---|
Spread | Indiana –10.5 |
Moneyline | Indiana –575, Minnesota +425 |
Total (O/U) | 143.5 |
Key Storylines
- Indiana opens its Big Ten schedule unbeaten at 7-0 under first-year head coach Darian DeVries. Their offense is operating efficiently, averaging 89.6 points per game on 50.4% shooting and 37.8% shooting from long range. Their ball movement stands out as well, with the Hoosiers averaging 20.9 assists per game.
- Minnesota is searching for answers at home. The Golden Gophers have dropped their last three games and enter at just 4-4. More troubling, they are missing some key contributors. Guard Chansey Willis Jr. was ruled out for the season after a foot injury, and forward Robert Vaihola remains questionable. That leaves much more work for senior wing Cade Tyson, who leads the team with 22.4 points per game, and forward Jaylen Crocker-Johnson, who logs 9.1 rebounds per game.
- Depth is a major concern for Minnesota. In their recent 86–75 loss to Santa Clara, the team was forced to rely on a severely limited rotation, which exposed how thin they are beyond their top players.
- This is the first true road game of the season for Indiana. And while the Hoosiers have looked great so far this season, they still have to prove themselves in a hostile environment against a conference opponent in this matchup.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Hoosiers lead the all-time series by a wide margin and have won the last nine meetings with Minnesota. Their most recent win over the Golden Gophers was a 82–67 victory last December in Bloomington.
- Indiana is 5-2 against the spread to start this season.
- Minnesota is 2-6 against the spread going into this game.
- The over has hit in 4 of Indiana's first 7 games.
- The under is 5-3 in games involving Minnesota to start the year.
Indiana vs Minnesota Model Projection
- Score Projection: Indiana 79 – Minnesota 64
- Win Probability: Indiana 82%, Minnesota 18%
Final Thoughts
There is some legitimate concern surrounding Indiana playing on the road for the first time this season. But I think that the Hoosiers will do enough in this game to cover the point spread on the road. Injuries and poor play have derailed the Golden Gophers to this point in the season and it is hard to see that changing here against one of the best teams Minnesota has faced so far this season.
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