This Saturday evening, the Kansas Jayhawks travel to Raleigh to face the North Carolina State Wolfpack. Both teams enter with similar records at 7-3, while NC State has a perfect home record this season and impressive offensive numbers. The Wolfpack is favored slightly going into this matchup and you can keep reading to get my Kansas vs NC State prediction right here.
Our Kansas vs NC State Pick
- Pick: NC State Wolfpack -2.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kansas Jayhawks @ NC State Wolfpack
- Date & Time: Saturday, December 13, 2025, 5:30 PM ET
- Venue: PNC Arena, Raleigh, North Carolina
- Broadcast: ESPN
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Key Storylines
- Kansas (7-3) secured a convincing 80-60 win over Missouri in its most recent outing, showcasing a stingy defense in that game. The Jayhawks allow just 63.7 points per game and have limited opponents to 37.5% shooting. Their defensive identity may slow down higher-scoring teams like the Wolfpack. But Kansas has yet to win a true road game this season and they will try to come away with a win away from home in this matchup.
- NC State (7-3) is unbeaten at home this season, winning all six of its home contests. The Wolfpack most recently dominated Liberty 85-45 behind a balanced offense and solid shooting. NC State scores at a high clip, averaging near 89 points per game and showing depth with multiple players posting double-digit scoring averages.
- Rakease Passmore of NC State is out for the season with a torn Achilles, which affects depth, but experienced scorers like Darrion Williams and Quadir Copeland help mitigate that loss.
- A win here would be huge for either team on Saturday evening. Kansas is looking to prove that its current group can win big games on the road, while NC State tries to pass one of its biggest tests of the season thus far. NC State also has the potential to join the top 25 in the country with a win in this matchup.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Kansas leads the all-time series against NC State, having won the last 13 meetings and holding a 13-1 edge overall.
- Kansas has been 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- Kansas has had 8 of its 10 games go under their totals this season.
- NC State is 5-5 against the spread entering Saturday night.
Kansas vs NC State Model Projection
Score Projection: Kansas 73 – NC State 77
Win Probability: Kansas 48%, NC State 52%
Final Thoughts
I'm not sure that NC State is for real this season, but I do think that they are going to get a win on their home floor here. I'll lay the points with the Wolfpack, as they should be able to take advantage of the fact that Kansas hasn't played much of anybody on the road yet this year. Look for the Wolfpack to get back into the rankings with a victory in this matchup.
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