The Southeastern Conference tournament opens with a compelling first‑round game on Wednesday, when the Ole Miss Rebels face the Texas Longhorns. Both teams enter Bridgestone Arena in Nashville with different ambitions and recent form, with Texas looking to advance and help their NCAA Tournament hopes and Ole Miss hoping for an upset. The Longhorns are favored going into this Ole Miss vs Texas matchup and they will try to avoid a devastating loss for their postseason aspirations.
Our Ole Miss vs Texas Pick
Pick: Texas -5.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 11, 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
Broadcast: SEC Network
Key Storylines
Texas enters the SEC tournament as the 10 seed with an 18‑13 overall record and a 9‑9 conference mark. They have lost four of their last five games going into postseason play and will be desperate for a win here to help their chances of making the NCAA Tournament.
Ole Miss, with a 12‑19 record and 4‑14 in league play, is positioned as the 15 seed, aiming to spring an upset despite inconsistency throughout the year. The Rebels have also lost four of their last five games and will try to take advantage of facing another struggling opponent here.
The Longhorns have won the season series between these teams this year and have been favored in betting lines going into this important matchup.
Key Players
Texas Longhorns
Dailyn Swain – Leading scorer for Texas at 17.7 points per game, also contributing 7.5 rebounds and 3.4 assists, making him a central piece of the Longhorns’ offense.
Jordan Pope – Capable of explosive scoring nights, recently delivering 30 points in an overtime contest, valuable for Texas’ tournament push.
Tramon Mark – A scoring guard whose ability to provide double‑figure points adds balance to Texas’ frontline scoring options.
Ole Miss Rebels
AJ Storr – Top offensive option for Ole Miss at 15.0 points per game, important in keeping the Rebels competitive through scoring consistency.
Malik Dia – Leading the Rebels in rebounds with 5.8 per game, a key contributor on the glass and secondary scoring threat.
Ilias Kamardine – Bringing ball distribution and minutes with 3.8 assists per game, he helps handle playmaking duties.
Stat Comparison
Statistic
Ole Miss
Texas
Points per game
75.3
84.4
Points allowed per game
75.9
76.8
Field Goal %
44%
49%
Rebounds Per Game
34.1
37.7
Assists Per Game
13.9
12.3
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
Texas won the only recent meeting between these two teams earlier in the season convincingly, showcasing offensive balance and interior presence.
Ole Miss is 11-20 against the spread so far this season.
Texas enters the SEC tournament with a 16-14 record against the spread.
Ole Miss vs Texas Model Projection
Score Projection: Ole Miss 74 – Texas 82 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Ole Miss 30%, Texas 70% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
Texas enters this SEC tournament opener with measurable advantages in scoring efficiency, field goal percentage, and rebounding. While the Longhorns have struggled of late, they should get it together here and get a game they must have in order to get to March Madness. I'm laying the points with the Longhorns here.
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