Wednesday’s 2026 ASUN Tournament opening round includes a compelling lower-seed matchup between the Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Stetson Hatters, two teams that finished the regular season with identical 11-20 records and 7-11 marks in conference play. Both squads will be looking to extend their seasons in Jacksonville, as they battle in the first round with their seasons on the line. Here, I break down this contest and give you my Stetson vs Eastern Kentucky prediction in the betting markets.
The ASUN Tournament always brings unpredictable outcomes, and this game could be no exception. Stetson lost its last meeting with EKU earlier this season by a 100-88 margin in the most recent head-to-head between these programs. Both teams struggled to find consistency throughout the season, but their offensive firepower and tendency to play up or down to their opponent’s level should make for an entertaining battle.
Key Players
Stetson Hatters
Top Scorer – Ethan Copeland: Leading Stetson’s offense at around 14.5 points per game while shooting near 45% from the field and sinking free throws at a solid clip, Copeland provides the scoring Stetson needs to keep pace.
Rebound Leader – Collin Kuhl: Contributes around 6.4 rebounds per contest and can help Stetson gain critical extra possessions.
Playmaker – Calvin Sirmans III: Brings nearly 5 assists per game and has the ball skills to generate quality looks for his teammates.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Balanced Scoring – Juan Cranford Jr.: Eastern Kentucky’s top scorer with around 12.3 points per game and capable of hitting timely shots to swing momentum.
Board Presence – Montavious Myrick: One of the Colonels’ best rebounders, pulling down around 7.0 rebounds per game to secure possessions.
Facilitator – MJ Williams: Adds around 4.1 assists and provides steady guard play that helps Eastern Kentucky manage offensive sets.
Stat Comparison
Stat
Stetson
Eastern Kentucky
Points per game
73.5
80.4
Points allowed per game
80.2
81.5
Team Field Goal %
45%
44%
Rebounds per Game
33.0
36.3
Assists per Game
15.3
14.7
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
EKU won the first matchup between these teams this season, though that was at home and this game is being played at a neutral site.
Eastern Kentucky is 10-18-1 against the spread this season.
Stetson is 16-13 against the spread going into the ASUN Tournament.
Stetson vs Eastern Kentucky Model Projection
Score Projection: Stetson 82 – Eastern Kentucky 87 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Stetson 46%, Eastern Kentucky 54% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
This ASUN Tournament matchup should be an entertaining offensive battle between two teams with similar records but slightly different resumes. Eastern Kentucky’s superior scoring and recent dominant win over Stetson give it a slight edge, while Stetson’s recent spread success and improved offensive rhythm mean they can't be counted out either. I'll lay the points with EKU, with the expectation that they go 2-0 against Stetson this year.
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