The stage is set for an intriguing Northeast Conference quarterfinal on Wednesday, as the Stonehill Skyhawks travel to take on the Le Moyne Dolphins at Ted Grant Court in Syracuse, New York. Both teams enter this Stonehill vs Le Moyne game just under .500 on the season. Stonehill has had its share of offensive struggles this season but has shown it can compete with the Dolphins, having already claimed two victories over them in league play this year. Can Le Moyne get revenge and advance? Find out below as I make my Stonehill vs Le Moyne prediction in the betting markets.
Our Stonehill vs Le Moyne Pick
Pick: Stonehill +6.5
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Stonehill Skyhawks @ Le Moyne Dolphins
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 4, 2026, 7:00 PM
Venue: Ted Grant Court, Syracuse, New York
Broadcast: NEC Front Row
Key Storylines
Le Moyne enters as the fourth seed in the NEC Tournament after finishing 15-16 overall and 10-8 in conference play, backed by solid home performance and a defense that improved over the season.
Stonehill enters as the fifth seed at 11-20 with an 8-10 record in league action. The Skyhawks have struggled offensively overall, but have played well in head-to-head games against Le Moyne, taking both regular-season clashes.
Key Players
Le Moyne Dolphins
Shilo Jackson: Led Le Moyne with 24 points and nine rebounds in the final regular-season outing, showing his ability to carry the offensive load when needed.
Jakai Sanders: Provided 17 points off the bench with contributions across rebounds and assists, emerging as a valuable scoring option.
Tennessee Rainwater: A spark on both ends, contributing steals and rebounds while providing additional scoring.
Stonehill Skyhawks
Davante Hackett: A key offensive leader for the Skyhawks this season, averaging around 13.0 points per game and recording a 30-point performance against Le Moyne earlier this year.
Hermann Koffi: Leads the team in scoring at about 13.1 points per contest, giving the Skyhawks reliable production.
Chas Stinson: A versatile contributor who provides scoring, rebounding, and playmaking, with a recent near double-double against Le Moyne.
Stat Comparison
Statistic
Stonehill
Le Moyne
Points per game
66.4
73.1
Points allowed per game
68.9
72.9
Team Field Goal %
42%
46%
Rebounds per game
37.6
34.6
Assists per game
12.6
14.3
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Stonehill swept the regular-season series against Le Moyne, winning them by an average of 10 points per game.
Stonehill is 13-14-2 against the spread this year.
Le Moyne is 16-14 against the spread this season.
Stonehill vs Le Moyne Model Projection
Score Projection: Stonehill 72 – Le Moyne 75
Win Probability: Stonehill 27%, Le Moyne 73%
Final Thoughts
While Stonehill has owned the head-to-head results this season, Le Moyne’s overall statistical advantages, home court advantage, and steadier offensive production suggest they should win this game. I recommend taking the points with Stonehill, as my projections make this a one-possession game. But Le Moyne would be disappointed if they failed to get a win here to advance to the next round of the NEC tournament.
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