The Texas A&M Aggies and the Florida State Seminoles will square off Friday in the non‑conference “Battle in the Bay” from Tampa. This game is a showdown that is expected to be both competitive and entertaining, with both teams already notching five wins on the season. Before this contest tips off in Tampa, you can find my Texas A&M vs Florida State prediction below.
Our Texas A&M vs Florida State Pick
Pick: Florida State −1.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
4.8/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas A&M Aggies vs Florida State Seminoles
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
- The game is the first regular‑season meeting between these programs since their 2011 NCAA Tournament matchup, when Florida State won 57–50. The Seminoles lead the all-time series 3–1 against the Aggies. This neutral‑site battle is important for both teams as they are looking to build momentum and résumé strength to help with their postseason aspirations.
- Texas A&M enters on a three-game winning streak after back-to-back losses to power-conference foes. Their offense has erupted lately, scoring 109 against Manhattan and 120 against Mississippi Valley State in their last two games. But this game will force the Aggies to prove themselves against a power conference opponent.
- Florida State is under new leadership and has embraced a faster pace of play. The Seminoles are scoring efficiently and averaging nearly 13 made three-pointers per game. Continuing to shoot the ball well would be huge for the Seminoles in this game.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams haven't played since 2011, so we haven't seen the current versions of these programs do battle.
- Texas A&M is 3-4 against the spread going into this contest.
- Florida State is 5-1 against the spread so far this season.
- The over has cashed in 5 of the 7 games for the Aggies this year.
- The under has hit in 5 of Florida State's first 6 games.
Texas A&M vs Florida State Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas A&M 78 – Florida State 81
Win Probability: Texas A&M 46%, Florida State 54%
Final Thoughts
I'm going to go with Florida State to win this game from Tampa. The Seminoles should have the upper hand when it comes to crowd support in the state of Florida. They should also be able to use their superior three-point shooting to set them apart in what should be an entertaining neutral-site matchup on Black Friday.
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