The UCF Knights travel to Provo on Tuesday for a late Big 12 Conference showdown against the BYU Cougars at the Marriott Center. Both teams enter this game with identical 8‑6 conference records, making this a huge game with Big 12 tournament seeding implications. Before this contest begins on Tuesday night, you can find my UCF vs BYU prediction in college hoops.
Our UCF vs BYU Pick
Pick: UCF Knights +11.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 2 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: UCF Knights @ BYU Cougars
Date & Time: Tuesday, February 24, 2026, 11:00 PM ET
Venue: Marriott Center, Provo, Utah
Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
BYU enters this game at 20‑7 overall and is tied with UCF at 8‑6 in Big 12 play, with both teams jockeying for improved seeding in the conference tournament and NCAA tournament.
The Cougars are 11‑2 at home, and the Marriott Center has given them a strong advantage throughout the season.
UCF is 3‑0 in one‑possession games, showing they can close out tight affairs, though they have struggled away from home against ranked opponents this season.
Key Players
BYU Cougars
AJ Dybantsa – Averaging approximately 24.9 points, 6.7 rebounds, and four assists, Dybantsa is arguably the best player on the floor and must be guarded closely to limit BYU’s offensive flow. He led the Cougars with 29 points in BYU’s latest win.
Richie Saunders – A sharpshooting wing with about 18.1 points per contest while shooting above 35% from three‑point range, Saunders provides perimeter spacing that stretches defenses and opens lanes for Dybantsa.
Robert Wright III – The senior guard facilitates the offense and adds scoring for the Cougars, averaging solid assist numbers and helping control pace for BYU.
UCF Knights
Themus Fulks – Leading the Knights with roughly 14.0 points per game and chipping in three rebounds per contest, Fulks’ scoring efficiency will be vital in keeping UCF competitive against BYU’s pressure defense.
Jordan Burks – Averaging around 14.1 points and 4.7 rebounds recently, Burks offers secondary scoring and perimeter defense that could play a key role if UCF hopes to stay within striking distance.
Stat Comparison
Statistic
BYU
UCF
Points per game
85.5
81.4
Points allowed per game
74.3
77.2
Team Field Goal %
48%
47%
Rebounds Per Game
39.2
36.8
Assists Per Game
14.4
16.0
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
BYU leads the all‑time series between the teams 4‑0, and this is the first matchup between these teams this season.
BYU is 12-15 against the spread so far this season.
UCF is 13-13 against the spread on the year.
UCF vs BYU Model Projection
Score Projection: UCF 79 – BYU 87 ATS PRO
Win Probability: UCF 18%, BYU 82% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
BYU should be able to win this game at home over UCF to keep their winning ways going. But I'm going to take the points with the Knights on the road here, as UCF has won two straight games, and should be able to keep this game respectable against a BYU team that has played some close games at home of late.
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