The Texas Tech Red Raiders (3–1) will square off against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3–1) in a non‑conference college basketball game at the Baha Mar Championship in Bahamas. Texas Tech enters as the clear favorite and will look to overcome Wake Forest’s stingy defense and improving offensive firepower to get a win in paradise. Before tip-off from Nassau, continue reading to find my Wake Forest vs Texas Tech prediction below.
Our Wake Forest vs Texas Tech Pick
- Pick: Texas Tech −8.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Date & Time: Thursday, November 20, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Baha Mar Convention Center, Nassau, Bahamas
- Broadcast: CBSSN
Key Storylines
- Texas Tech’s star guard: Christian Anderson is having a breakout season. He’s averaging 19.5 points, 9.0 assists, 4.3 rebounds, and 2.8 steals per game. He is setting the tone as a true lead guard. He was named to the All‑Big 12 preseason team.
- Wake Forest’s defensive identity: Last season, the Demon Deacons ranked among the ACC’s best in three-point defense and were strong in forcing turnovers. Their defensive intensity remains a core strength, as they are allowing under 75 points per game early in the season.
- New additions for Wake Forest: Point guard Nate Calmese offers better floor leadership. Senior guard Mekhi Mason is a strong shooter and could solve some of last year’s perimeter issues. Myles Colvin and big man Cooper Schwieger bring size and versatility. All of these additions have helped Wake Forest enjoy a strong start to their year.
- Event context: This game is part of the Baha Mar Championship. Both teams are looking to boost their non-conference resume early, making this a meaningful contest for each program.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Past meetings: Wake Forest has historically owned this matchup, winning both prior meetings. Both were in neutral‑site tournaments like this one.
- ATS Trends: Wake Forest is 2-2 against the spread this season. Texas Tech is 1-3 against the spread entering this game.
- Over/Under Trends: Wake Forest has gone over the total in three of its first four games. Texas Tech has split its first two games in the over/under market, going 2-2 on each side.
Texas Tech vs Wake Forest Model Projection
- Score Projection: Wake Forest 74 – Texas Tech 85
- Win Probability: Wake Forest 22%, Texas Tech 78%
Final Thoughts
Wake Forest enters this game as a top 15 team in the country according to KenPom's team rankings. They are a huge step up in level of competition for Wake Forest after an early start where Michigan was the only tough game for the Demon Deacons. I'll lay the points with Texas Tech, as JT Toppin should have another big game to lead his team to a convincing victory in the Bahamas.
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