College Football Underdog Fantasy Picks: College Football Playoff Semifinal DFS Picks


College football season is here and that means the chance to win on Underdog Fantasy and other DFS sites. In the semifinal round of the College Football Playoff, we have put together a two-player entry for the weekend's games that includes the statistical outputs of two quarterbacks this week. Continue reading to find out which Underdog Fantasy college football picks we like best on the gridiron.
Our Underdog Fantasy Pick 'Em ticket for the semifinals of the College Football Playoff will take a pair of quarterback props for this week's playoff action. First, I'll go with Miami quarterback Carson Beck to throw for under 235.5 yards against Ole Miss. Beck has thrown for a total of 241 yards through two playoff games this year. Expect him to struggle against Ole Miss as well, as Beck is asked to be more of a game manager than anything else.
Then, I'll go with Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza to throw for over 208.5 yards against Oregon. Oregon has looked great in this year's College Football Playoff so far. But Mendoza did exceed this number against Oregon in their meeting during the regular season and he should do it again in what should be a close game in the semifinals.
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Are you ready to dominate your next Underdog Fantasy entry with expert college football picks? At ATS, we leverage years of experience analyzing college football trends and data to give you an edge in Underdog's pick'em contests. By carefully examining advanced statistics, player performance metrics, and gameday matchups, we deliver the top Underdog picks each week, helping you make well-informed decisions.
Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to the world of college football fantasy contests, our expertise ensures you’re always ahead of the competition. Trust our insights to elevate your picks, all season long. To get those picks, along with some information on how these pick 'em contests work and what strategies you should use to play in them, continue reading.
Each week throughout the season, our college football betting experts look at DFS sites like Underdog Fantasy and comb through their prop selections. We then use those selections to publish our Underdog Fantasy college football picks this week, and each subsequent week during the season. Be sure to bookmark this page and come back each week, as our picks will be right here for you to use to build your own Underdog Fantasy pick ‘em entries.
Underdog Fantasy college football pick ‘ems are pretty straightforward in terms of how they function. Players must pick two or more of the player prop selections that are available for the upcoming slate of games. These picks must span at least two unique games, as that is a part of what keeps Underdog Fantasy legal as a game of skill under the fantasy football umbrella.
Players are able to choose anywhere from two to five picks for each of their pick ‘em entries. A two-leg pick ‘em entry pays out 3x the amount wagered, while a five-leg entry pays out 20x the amount risked. Naturally, it is much more difficult to win as more legs are added to a player’s card, so players are responsible for balancing their win probability with the amount they hope to win from each entry.
Each pick that is combined into an Underdog Fantasy college football entry asks players to select whether they think a player prop will go higher or lower than the total the site has listed. For example, players can pick whether they think a running back will go over or under a rushing yardage number, or whether a quarterback will land higher or lower than the set number of passing touchdowns. In the event of a push, the number of legs in the pick ‘em entry and the subsequent payout, will decrease by one leg.
The most overlooked component of playing DFS sites like Underdog Fantasy is how to get value out of doing so. Like traditional college football betting, there is a math and probability component to playing Underdog Fantasy for college football. Below is a table containing the payout odds for traditional parlays at a sportsbook, the equivalent payout at Underdog Fantasy, and the true odds of winning each.
# of Parlay Legs at -110 | Underdog Fantasy Payout | DraftKings Sportsbook Payout | True Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
2 | +300 | +264 | +300 |
3 | +600 | +595 | +700 |
4 | +1000 | +1228 | +1500 |
5 | +2000 | +2435 | +3100 |
In terms of getting fair value, the only way to do so at Underdog Fantasy is to play two-leg pick ‘ems. Any additional legs will prevent players from getting the true odds on their entry, with additional legs seeing the payouts lag significantly behind what even traditional sportsbooks offer on parlays. This is a great sign to stop putting lottery ticket parlays together as well, as you can see by comparing parlay payouts to their true odds.
To win when making Underdog Fantasy college football picks, there are a few strategies that can help along the way. Below are some of the strategic elements of handicapping that our college football experts use when putting together the college football pick ‘em entries that we present to you on a weekly basis.
As we mentioned earlier, the only way to get fair value relative to your true odds on Underdog Fantasy is to stick to two-leg pick ‘em entries. While these do not come with the alluring 20x payouts that five-leg entries do, your chances of winning these are way better and you actually receive the type of payout that matches those chances. This is simply the right way to play on a site like this, whether you like it or not.
College football games have the potential to be so high-scoring and feature so many big plays. But there can often be value in the unders on sites like Underdog, as you are going against so many players who wish to blindly bet the over on props whenever possible. At the very least, it is smart to take a look and evaluate each total on a case-by-case basis.
Doing the research to evaluate each option in Underdog Fantasy college football contests is incredibly important. This is especially true given that there are so many more games to choose from in college football than there are in pro football. Players can really find value in the higher/lower markets at Underdog if they are simply willing to dig deep and find it in less-heralded matchups.
This college football season, our college football experts at ATS have picks ready for you in way more than just the world of DFS. Bettors can also find our best college football bets and our college football parlay picks for each week by clicking the links here.