Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction - 9/25/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays are set to face off on Thursday night at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Both teams are playing for postseason positioning and could really use a win in this matchup. The Sox will look to secure a sweep of the Blue Jays with a win, while the Jays look to stop the bleeding after a recent cold streak. Before these AL East rivals face off on Thursday, continue reading to get my Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for tonight.
Brayan Bello (11-8, 3.34 ERA) takes the mound for Boston in this contest. Bello has been a reliable presence in the Red Sox rotation. However, he faces a formidable opponent in Louis Varland (4-3, 3.10 ERA), who has performed well in his starts for Toronto. Both pitchers will try to get their teams off to good starts in this contest and help them to achieve what they want to achieve in the playoff race.
The Red Sox enter this game having won four of their last five, including a decisive 7-1 victory over the Blue Jays in the previous game. Toronto has struggled recently, losing six of their last seven games. That has allowed the New York Yankees to catch up in the AL East standings. Toronto and New York are tied in the standings with four games left to play.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Brayan Bello | Over 6.5 Strikeouts |
George Springer | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Analytically, I make this a very tight game between two playoff-caliber teams. But looking at the momentum on each side, it is hard not to put my faith in the Red Sox tonight. Boston is playing much better baseball than the Jays right now, who are clearly struggling with the pressure of a tight division title race. I'll take Boston to win this game and to potentially help the rival Yankees move ahead of the Jays in the standings going into the final weekend of the season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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