The midweek series finale between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday brings together two teams trending in different directions. Los Angeles enters with one of the best records in baseball, while Miami continues to fight for consistency. Tuesday’s 2-1 Marlins win evened this series at a game apiece, as Los Angeles struggled to produce offensively despite strong pitching. And with both teams sending quality starting pitchers to the bump here, this Marlins vs Dodgers matchup could be another low-scoring affair.
Marlins vs Dodgers Pick
Pick: Under 8
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date & Time: Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Starting Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs Tyler Glasnow
Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
The Marlins snapped a three-game losing streak on Tuesday with a 2-1 victory behind strong pitching.
The Los Angeles Dodgers still own a 20-10 record and one of the most productive offenses in baseball, despite losing at home on Tuesday.
Miami remains under .500 at 14-16 and has struggled to generate consistent power, with just 21 home runs compared to LA's 45.
Both starting pitchers come into this game with ERAs of 3.05 or lower, as this is set to be a defensive battle.
Pitching Matchup
Sandy Alcantara enters at 3-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 41.1 innings.
Tyler Glasnow comes in at 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA, a dominant 0.70 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts in 33 innings.
Glasnow is coming off a dominant outing with 8 scoreless innings and 9 strikeouts.
Both pitchers have performed well, but Glasnow’s control metrics and fewer home runs allowed could give him the edge.
Key Players
Will Smith delivered 3 hits and the only Dodgers RBI in Tuesday’s loss.
Otto Lopez led Miami with 3 hits in the series opener.
Andy Pages is a key for the Dodgers lineup, leading them in both batting average and RBI.
Liam Hicks has an impressive 27 RBI to lead the Miami Marlins this year.
Betting Trends & H2H
These teams are 1-1 against each other so far this season.
The over/under is 1-1 in games between these teams this year.
Miami is 18-10-2 in the over/under market heading into this contest, with their games going over the total more often than not.
The under is 16-14 in games involving the Dodgers.
Marlins vs Dodgers Model Projection
Score Projection: Miami Marlins 3 - Los Angeles Dodgers 4
Win Probability: Miami Marlins 38%, Los Angeles Dodgers 62%
Tuesday’s low-scoring result has me confident that we will see another under between these teams on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins and Dodgers both have superb starting pitchers on the bump for this contest. And with both teams struggling to generate consistent offense in this series so far, I'm expecting a quiet outing for both teams offensively here. Look for a game with somewhere around 7 total runs scored and for the under to cash for the second straight day at Dodger Stadium.
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