Atlanta Braves
07:15 PM
ATS Picks on June 28, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the league for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Schwellenbach has used his off-speed and breaking balls 9.3% less often this season (54.8%) than he did last season (64.1%).
Spencer Schwellenbach has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play this year with a .253 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
Spencer Schwellenbach projects as the 16th-best SP in baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's LF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.
Spencer Schwellenbach will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats across the board.
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: -156
Strikeouts 5.5 under: 124
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Spencer Schwellenbach in the 84th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Spencer Schwellenbach ranks in the 85th percentile.
The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brandon Marsh, Otto Kemp, Kyle Schwarber).
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
The #9 park in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Schwellenbach has used his off-speed and breaking balls 9.3% less often this season (54.8%) than he did last season (64.1%).
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 132
Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -172
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Spencer Schwellenbach projects as the 16th-best SP in baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Spencer Schwellenbach ranks in the 85th percentile.
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's LF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the league for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Schwellenbach has used his off-speed and breaking balls 9.3% less often this season (54.8%) than he did last season (64.1%).
Spencer Schwellenbach has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play this year with a .253 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to have 17.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (-123) | ov 5.5 (-115) | - | ov 5.5 (-125) | ov 5.5 (-125) | ov 5.5 (-125) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (123) | ov 1.5 (-150) | - | ov 2.5 (120) | ov 2.5 (126) | ov 2.5 (120) |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 18.5 (128) | ov 18.5 (130) | ov 18.5 (122) | ov 18.5 (125) | ov 18.5 (133) | ov 18.5 (130) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 5.5 (-152) | ov 5.5 (-155) | ov 5.5 (-156) | ov 5.5 (-160) | ov 5.5 (-154) | ov 5.5 (-145) |
