Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller UFC 324 Prediction - 1/24/2026


The welterweight bout between Adam Fugitt and Ty Miller will open up the action at UFC 324 on Saturday in Las Vegas at T‑Mobile Arena. This fight could set the tone for the rest of the evening, and it should be an interesting one as the undefeated Miller makes his UFC debut against a more experienced opponent. Here, I break down the curtain raiser from Las Vegas and make my Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller prediction.
Pick: | Miller by Decision ATS PRO |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
Statistic | Adam Fugitt | Ty Miller |
|---|---|---|
Age | 37 | 25 |
Height | 6'1" | 6'2" |
Reach | 77" | 77" |
Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
Record | 10‑5‑0 | 6‑0‑0 (1 NC) |
This fight pits the seasoned veteran Adam Fugitt against the undefeated newcomer Ty Miller on the early prelims of UFC 324. Fugitt comes in with twice as many professional fights, with victories by knockout, submission, and decision. But he also carries five losses and has dropped three of his five career bouts since joining the UFC roster. His southpaw stance and his striking give him the tools to mix up his offense and challenge explosive fighters like Miller. But Fugitt is a sizable underdog here and will try to overcome those odds to get a much-needed victory.
Ty Miller arrives as an undefeated welterweight prospect, getting a win in Dana White’s Contender Series to earn a deal leading up to his UFC debut. At 25 years of age, Miller has the physical attributes of an agile and rangy fighter with solid height for the division and good striking volume. Though he has yet to face the level of competition that Fugitt has encountered, Miller’s undefeated status and confidence at this stage of his career cannot be overstated.
The big question going into this fight is whether or not Miller can continue to fight at a high level in his first experience on a stage like this. There is a huge difference between beating up on competition in the Contender Series and in lower-level promotions and winning at the UFC level. This is a good chance for Miller to prove that he will not succumb to any nerves in UFC.
From a betting perspective, this fight strongly favors Ty Miller to continue his unbeaten run and make a strong impression in his UFC debut. Miller’s combination of striking volume and confidence from the Contender Series should allow him to control this fight and rack up significant strikes against Fugitt. While Fugitt’s experience and southpaw stance could create trouble at times, the likely outcome is that Miller’s activity and pace will carry him through. We are going to learn a lot about Miller in this fight and I think we will learn a lot of positives about him, as he should stay unbeaten in his MMA career.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.