Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny Prediction - 9/27/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
Jake Matthews and Neil Magny will face off on Saturday night in the UFC welterweight division in Australia. Matthews is on home soil as the fight takes place in Perth, while Magny steps in as a durable gatekeeper and veteran looking to remind the division that he still has fight left in him. Here, I break down this matchup in the octagon and you can find my Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny prediction below.
Jake Matthews | Neil Magny | |
|---|---|---|
Age | 31 | 38 |
Height | 5′11″ | 6′3″ |
Reach | 73″ | 80″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Pro Record | 22-7-0 | 30-14-0 |
Jake Matthews has steadily climbed the welterweight ranks with a well-rounded skill set. Early in his career, he was best known for his submission ability. Over time his striking has improved, allowing him to pressure opponents in different ways. His most recent win came in July 2025 when he submitted Chidi Njokuani in the first round and he will look to build on his three-fight winning streak here.
However, Matthews has often run into trouble when facing larger, durable welterweights capable of defending takedowns and landing from range. That is exactly the type of challenge Magny presents him in this fight. Magny brings a bigger frame, longer reach, and a reputation for durability into this fight. At his best, Magny uses his length to stay outside, pick his counters carefully, and make it difficult for opponents to lock in control on the ground.
One advantage for Matthews is age. At 31, he is still in or near his physical prime. Magny is 38 and is more likely to show signs of wear against a younger opponent. Stylistically, the fight may play out with Matthews pressing forward, looking to close distance, and turn that pressure into takedown attempts. Magny will try to keep Matthews at bay with the jab, use lateral movement, land strikes, and counter where possible.
This fight will pit the youth and aggression of Matthews against the size and experience of Magny. I think that Matthews has the advantage with that in mind. He is going to speed Magny up in this fight and cut down on Magny's time to make decisions. While Magny has the size and reach advantage, Matthews has the advantage in just about every other department going into this bout. I'll take Matthews to get the win in this fight and delight the home crowd in Australia on Saturday night.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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