Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs Pick & Prediction - 3/5/2026
The Detroit Pistons travel to Texas on Thursday night for a marquee clash with the San Antonio Spurs. Both teams sit near the top of their respective conferences and have produced strong results through the season. Detroit enters the game with one of the league’s best records and a balanced lineup built around All-Star guard Cade Cunningham. San Antonio counters with the unique presence of Victor Wembanyama, whose impact on both ends has fueled a surge up the Western Conference standings. Here, I break down Pistons vs Spurs and bring you my pick for this possible NBA Finals preview.
Pick: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
This meeting features two of the NBA’s most improved teams. Detroit has emerged as a contender in the Eastern Conference thanks to its efficient offense and strong rebounding. The Pistons average 117.2 points per game while allowing just 109.5, giving them one of the best scoring differentials in the league.
San Antonio has also surged during the second half of the season. The Spurs have won 12 of their last 13 games and remain extremely strong at home, where they have captured 5 straight victories. Their defense has tightened during this run while Wembanyama continues to dominate the paint. The Spurs recently defeated Detroit 114-103 in a February meeting, adding another layer of intrigue to this rematch.
San Antonio Spurs
Detroit Pistons
Team | Points per game | Points allowed per game | Team Field Goal % | Rebounds per game | Assists per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Pistons | 117.2 | 109.5 | 48% | 46.3 | 26.8 |
San Antonio Spurs | 118.2 | 111.4 | 48% | 46.5 | 27.1 |
Score Projection: Detroit Pistons 112 – San Antonio Spurs 118 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Detroit Pistons 44%, San Antonio Spurs 56% ATS PRO
This matchup features two teams that have been playing excellent basketball during the second half of the season. But San Antonio has been playing better basketball and I think they will continue to do so on Thursday night. With Wembanyama anchoring the defense and the team riding a long winning stretch, San Antonio holds a slight advantage and I will lay the points with them over the Pistons.
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