Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction - 10/30/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Golden State Warriors and the Milwaukee Bucks will face off at Fiserv Forum on Thursday night. Both of these teams have just one loss to their name so far this season and will try to make a statement against each other here. For a closer look at this game, including my Warriors vs Bucks prediction, continue reading my preview of this contest below.
Golden State enters this game at 4-1. They are off to a hot start behind a veteran core. Stephen Curry is averaging 27 points per game while shooting 50.6% from the field. The Warriors are averaging 126.5 points per game so far this season. But the question going into this game will be on the defensive end of the floor, where the Warriors will have to figure out a way to slow down Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Milwaukee is 3-1 to start this season, thanks to an incredible start from Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak is averaging 36.3 points, 14.0 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per game while shooting 69.5% from the field. The Bucks continue to lean heavily on him for both scoring and playmaking. Milwaukee has won both of its home games to start the season, including their last game against the New York Knicks on Tuesday. They will try to stay perfect at home with a win in this contest.
Golden State is without guard De’Anthony Melton (knee) and lists guard Moses Moody as questionable (calf). The Bucks have Antetokounmpo listed on their injury report, but he is expected to play in this contest. Kevin Porter Jr. is still listed as out for the Bucks and Cole Anthony returned from injury in Milwaukee's win over New York this week.
Player | Prop to Consider |
|---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo | Over 30.5 points |
Stephen Curry | Over 26.5 points |
Jonathan Kuminga | Under 16.5 points |
Score Projection: Warriors 114 – Bucks 117
Win Probability: Warriors 44% / Bucks 56%
I'm going with the home underdog to get the win in this huge game in the NBA on Thursday night. Giannis should prove to be too much for the Warriors to stop and Golden State should drop to 1-2 on the road for the season. I'll take the Bucks as a slight underdog on the moneyline, though bettors may want to wait to get confirmation that Antetokounmpo is going to play.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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