Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction - 11/11/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Golden State Warriors (6-5) will take on the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) on Tuesday night. The Thunder's title defense is off to a great start and they will try to keep rolling in this matchup on their home floor. Before tip-off from OKC, you can continue reading to get my thoughts on this game, including my Warriors vs Thunder prediction.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Over 32.5 points |
Chet Holmgren | Over 16.5 points |
Stephen Curry | Under 24.5 points (returning from illness) |
Score Projection: Oklahoma City Thunder 115 – Golden State Warriors 104
Win Probability: Thunder 70%, Warriors 30%
The Thunder's only loss so far this season came on the second night of a back-to-back on the road. Rested and at home here, I expect OKC to continue to roll in this contest. I'll go with the Thunder to win, cover the spread, and stay undefeated at home against a Warriors team that has only won one road game in six tries this year.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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