Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction: Who Claims the 8th Seed In Western Conference Play-In Tournament?
Updated July 9, 2026
The final Western Conference play-in spot comes down to a showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns on Friday night. Golden State kept its season alive with a dramatic comeback win over the Clippers, fueled by a vintage scoring night from Stephen Curry and timely shooting late in the fourth quarter. Phoenix enters this game after a home loss to Portland that denied them the 7 seed, leaving them with one more chance on their home floor. Here, I break down this matchup and make my Warriors vs Suns prediction in the final game of the 2026 play-in tournament.
Golden State enters this game with renewed belief after eliminating the Clippers despite trailing late. The return of Stephen Curry has changed the outlook of this roster, as his scoring opens opportunities for role players like Gui Santos and Kristaps Porzingis. However, the Warriors remain a below .500 team overall and have struggled with consistency, especially on the road.
Phoenix faces a different type of pressure. After letting a double-digit lead slip away against Portland, the Suns must regroup quickly. The advantage for Phoenix lies in playing at home, where they have been significantly stronger this season. The Suns also carry the benefit of rest compared to a Warriors squad coming off an emotional win just two days earlier. But Phoenix has a lot to prove if they want to reach the playoffs and face the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Category | Warriors | Suns |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 114.6 | 112.6 |
Team Field Goal % | 46% | 46% |
Rebounds per game | 42.3 | 43.1 |
Assists per game | 28.9 | 24.6 |
This game sets up as a tight contest where shot-making in the final minutes will decide the outcome. Golden State has the best player on the floor in Stephen Curry, and his ability to create offense from anywhere keeps the Warriors within reach, regardless of opponent. Phoenix is at home, but they just gave up over 40 points to Deni Avdija with a playoff spot on the line. I can only imagine what Curry is going to do to them, and I'll take the Warriors to sneak into the playoffs by winning as an underdog here.
Affiliate DisclosureATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
