Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction - 11/14/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Friday night showdown between the Golden State Warriors and the San Antonio Spurs is an important one for both teams. San Antonio enters with an 8‑3 record, while Golden State sits at 7‑6. Both teams will have their attention on getting a key win in NBA Cup competition. San Antonio leads their group, while the Warriors are looking to avoid an 0-2 start in group play. Before tip-off from San Antonio, continue reading to get my Warriors vs Spurs prediction for Friday.
Pick: Spurs ‑2.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
San Antonio is playing with confidence early in the season. They have a 5‑1 home record coming into this game and they will try to improve to 2-0 in NBA Cup group play with another win at home here. Victor Wembanyama remains the anchor of their system, delivering elite two‑way impact. They have De'Aaron Fox back and will try to bounce back from a loss to these same Warriors in their last game.
Golden State comes in fresh off a win over the Spurs, but they have struggled away from home with a 2‑6 record on the road this year. Steph Curry is back after a bout with illness, giving the Dubs most of their veteran core on the floor together. They will try to use that to their advantage in this contest that is more or less an elimination game for the Warriors in cup competition.
It will be interesting to see what adjustments are made from the game these teams played earlier this week. The Spurs have to do a better job of taking Curry's shot away from him after the Spurs were torched by the future Hall of Famer for over 40 points. But that is easier said than done, as any defense in the history of the NBA that has faced Curry would tell you.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Stephen Curry | Over 26.5 points |
Victor Wembanyama | Over 11.5 rebounds |
Score Projection | Win Probability |
|---|---|
Spurs 119 – Warriors 112 | Spurs 56%, Warriors 44% |
The Warriors got the better of the Spurs in the last meeting between these teams. But I think that the Spurs will flip the script on them in this game. I'll lay the points with San Antonio, who should rediscover their form on their home floor against a Warriors team that won't be able to count on another 40-piece from Curry to bail out the rest of their roster.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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