The New York Knicks visit the Toronto Raptors for a key Atlantic Division matchup on Wednesday night. Both teams come into this game on winning streaks and will look for a huge win against each other with Eastern Conference playoff positioning on the line. Which team will end the night above the other in the standings? Find out what I think below with my Knicks vs Raptors prediction in the NBA.
Our Knicks vs Raptors Pick
Pick: Raptors -1.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors
Date & Time: Wednesday, January 28, 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
Current form and standings: New York enters at 28-18 while Toronto sits 29-19. They enter the night tied for third place in the Eastern Conference standings, with the winner set to take sole possession of third place in the East at the end of the night.
Star watch: Jalen Brunson is pacing New York, scoring 28 points per game with 6.0 assists per contest. Brandon Ingram leads Toronto, scoring 21.5 points per game. Immanuel Quickley orchestrates the Toronto offense with 6.2 assists per game.
Frontcourt availability: Toronto continues without Jakob Poeltl due to a lingering back issue, forcing them to play smaller lineups and give more minutes to Sandro Mamukelashvili. New York lists Mitchell Robinson as a game-time decision with an ankle injury, which will be important to monitor given how influential Robinson is on the offensive glass.
Rest factor: The Knicks are on their second game in two nights after playing at home against the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday, traveling to Toronto overnight. The Raptors have had slightly more rest after returning from a Western trip.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Past meetings: New York has taken 10 straight meetings against the Raptors. The Knicks have won both games against the Raptors this season, defeating Toronto 116-94 and 117-101 in late November and early December.
The Knicks are 24-23 against the spread going into Wednesday night.
Toronto is 24-24 against the spread so far this season.
The Knicks are also 24-23 in the over/under market this year, favoring the over slightly.
The under is 29-19 in Raptors games this year.
Knicks vs Raptors Model Projection
Score Projection: New York 116 – Toronto 119
Win Probability: New York 44%, Toronto 56%
Final Thoughts
If these teams went into this game with equal amounts of rest, the Knicks would likely have the upper hand on the road. But that is not the case going into this game. Instead, we see the Raptors with a significant advantage in terms of time off. Expect Toronto to be the fresher team in this game and for the Raptors to come away with a victory on their home floor to end their losing streak against New York.
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