Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Prop Bets - 12/20/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
As the Phoenix Suns travel to the Bay Area to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday, both teams are looking to rebound from some recent struggles. These teams both occupy play-in tournament spots in the West standings to this point in the season. But only one of them can get a win in this matchup from San Francisco. Here, I break down this matchup in the NBA and bring you my Suns vs Warriors prediction on the hardwood.
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The Warriors enter this game looking to bounce back after a 99-98 loss to Phoenix on Thursday night, where they blew a double-digit lead and committed 20 turnovers that ultimately cost them the game. Stephen Curry struggled in that outing, shooting 3-of-14 from the field, while Brandin Podziemski scored 18 and Jimmy Butler had 31 points for Golden State. Phoenix saw strong contributions from Devin Booker, who shook off a shooting slump with 25 points, while Dillon Brooks added 24.
Both teams have shown defensive intensity, helping to keep scoring lower than league averages in recent contests. Warriors veteran Draymond Green’s turnover issues have drawn scrutiny, as he ranks near the top of the league in turnovers per game, negatively impacting Golden State’s offensive flow.
Injuries will factor into this rematch, with Phoenix potentially missing Grayson Allen, Isaiah Livers, and Jalen Green. For Golden State, Seth Curry and Al Horford are listed as out. The Suns are 6-7 on the road coming into this game, while the Warriors are 7-4 on their home floor. Both teams will need to figure out how to overcome their injuries to improve on those records.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Stephen Curry | Over 27.5 Points |
Devin Booker | Over 24.5 Points |
Dillon Brooks | Under 2.5 Threes |
Brandin Podziemski | Over 1.5 Threes |
Score Projection: Warriors 115 – Suns 109
Win Probability: Warriors 61%, Suns 39%
I'm going to take the Warriors to win and cover the spread over the Suns on Saturday night. The home team has won each of the first two meetings between these teams this season and I'm expecting that trend to continue in the Bay Area. Look for Curry to get back on track shooting the basketball and for the Dubs to avoid a second straight loss to the Suns.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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