The Toronto Raptors head into their Sunday afternoon matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks with momentum after a solid win over the Chicago Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bucks come off a big offensive outing in New Orleans, riding a three-game win streak into this Eastern Conference showdown. With Milwaukee still without star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo and Toronto sporting what appears to be a fully healthy rotation, oddsmakers have made the Raptors the favorite in this game. Here, I have broken down this game and you will find my Raptors vs Bucks prediction right here.
Our Raptors vs Bucks Pick
Pick: Bucks +3.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time: Sunday, Feb 22, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
The Raptors come in off a strong performance from Brandon Ingram, who scored 31 points in their most recent win. They are 33-23 on the season and fifth in the Eastern Conference.
The Bucks have won six of their last seven games and continue to shoot at a high level, but are playing without Giannis Antetokounmpo due to a calf injury that has kept him out for over a month.
Toronto is favored in this one, with the latest spread at Raptors -3.5 and a point total around 222.5.
Key Players
Milwaukee Bucks
Ryan Rollins: Leading the Bucks with around 17.1 points per game while adding 5.5 assists and 1.5 steals, Rollins has been a catalyst for Milwaukee’s offense during their recent surge. His ability to create offense and knock down perimeter shots makes him essential, given the absence of Giannis.
Kevin Porter Jr.: Porter has also been scoring in the 20s over the past few games, adding playmaking and secondary scoring to ease the loss of Milwaukee’s top star. He’s a player capable of changing the flow of the game when hot.
Cam Thomas: Thomas has provided instant offense since joining the Bucks, including multiple 20+ point outings. His bench scoring is critical for Milwaukee’s rotation.
Toronto Raptors
Brandon Ingram: Ingram is Toronto’s leading scorer at around 22 points per game, and he delivered 31 points in the Raptors’ last outing. His scoring and all-around contributions make him a key reason Toronto’s offense functions so effectively.
Immanuel Quickley: Quickley’s recent shooting has been strong, averaging around 17.2 points and 5.0 rebounds, providing the Raptors with a steady scoring source beside Ingram.
Scottie Barnes: Barnes contributes across the stat sheet with points, rebounds, and assists, bringing defensive versatility and playmaking that keep Toronto competitive on both ends of the floor.
Stat Comparison
Stat
Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks
Points per game
113.7
112.3
Points allowed per game
112.1
115.2
Team Field Goal %
47%
48%
Rebounds per game
43.0
41.1
Assists per game
29.2
26.1
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Toronto leads the season series 2-1, with the last meeting ending in a 111-105 Raptors win at Milwaukee.
Toronto is 28-28 against the spread this season.
Milwaukee is 25-29 against the spread this year.
Raptors vs Bucks Model Projection
Score Projection: Toronto Raptors 113 – Milwaukee Bucks 112 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Toronto Raptors 56%, Milwaukee Bucks 44% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
This game looks like a tight contest on paper, and I'm going to take the points with the Bucks on their home floor here. They have been playing some pretty good basketball despite not having Giannis on the floor and this should be a tight game no matter who ultimately gets the victory here.
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