The Toronto Raptors and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action on Monday night. The Spurs are short-handed but they are 3-0 to start this season and will try to stay undefeated against the NBA's lone Canadian representative. Here, I take a closer look at this matchup in the NBA and make my Raptors vs Spurs prediction for tonight.
Our Raptors vs Spurs Pick
- Pick: San Antonio Spurs -5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ San Antonio Spurs
- Date & Time: Monday, October 27, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs have started the season strong with a 3-0 record, including a 118-107 victory over the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Victor Wembanyama has been a standout performer, contributing 31 points and 14 rebounds in the win over the Nets. They are without De'Aaron Fox and Kelly Olynyk, but the Spurs have looked great in spite of those key absences and Wembanyama is looking like an MVP candidate early in the year.
- Toronto Raptors: The Raptors enter this game with a 1-2 record, coming off a 139-129 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing. Scottie Barnes led the team with 33 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. The Raptors will need to improve their defense to compete effectively against the Spurs. Toronto has given up 118 or more points in each of its first three games and that is a major concern here.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past Meetings: The Spurs won the last two matchups against the Raptors during the regular season last year.
- ATS Records: The Spurs are 1-0-2 against the spread this season, while the Raptors are 1-2 against the spread.
- O/U Records: The Raptors are 3-0 to the over so far this year. San Antonio has seen two of its first three games go under their totals.
- Home/Road Splits: The Spurs won their lone home game of the season this year, while the Raptors are 1-1 on the road going into tonight's game.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop |
|---|
Victor Wembanyama | Over 28.5 Points |
Scottie Barnes | Over 6.5 Rebounds |
Raptors vs Spurs Model Projection
- Score Projection: Raptors 112 – Spurs 118
- Win Probability: Spurs 68%, Raptors 32%
Final Thoughts
The Spurs have been one of the best stories in the NBA early in the season and Victor Wembanyama has been a big reason for that. Wemby should lead his team to another win in this game, putting up another big number against a Raptors team that is lacking the defensive ability to shut down the elite teams in the league. I'll lay the points with San Antonio, as they should improve to 4-0 on the season.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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