2026 Olympic Ski Jumping Women's Individual Large Hill Prediction


The women’s large hill ski jumping competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano‑Cortina is the inaugural Olympic edition of this discipline. With the pinnacle of ski jumping athleticism on display, several women arrive in Predazzo with strong recent World Cup form, world championship experience, and real medal ambitions. Before this event takes place in Italy, you will find my women's large hill ski jumping prediction right here.
Below are the current betting odds for the Women’s Large Hill ski jumping event at the 2026 Winter Olympics:

This year’s large hill competition carries multiple narratives that will influence both performance and betting considerations. First and foremost is the dominance of Slovenia’s Nika Prevc throughout the past season. Prevc is the heavy favorite to take gold after another standout run on the World Cup circuit, and she enters the Olympics as one of the most consistent performers in women’s ski jumping. Her season includes multiple victories and podium finishes, and she is broadly regarded as the benchmark for excellence in the sport.
Behind her, Norway’s Eirin Maria Kvandal has seen her stock rise with strong World Cup results and solid form on larger hills. Kvandal’s ability to post big jumps under pressure makes her an intriguing second favorite, especially if conditions prove challenging and reward technical precision.
Canada’s Abigail Strate has also been competitive on the World Cup tour, capturing victories and proving she can contend with the best. Strate’s strengths on the big hill and her recent win in Oberstdorf add real intrigue to her chances. Meanwhile, Japan’s Nozomi Maruyama has found strong form this season, with victories and podium placements showing she can maintain high scores on both normal and large hills.
Anna Odine Stroem of Norway remains a storyline worth monitoring. Stroem secured Olympic gold in the women’s normal hill just days earlier in Predazzo, displaying her ability to peak at the right time. While that event was on the smaller hill, her performance under Olympic pressure should not be underestimated on the large hill.
Pick: Nika Prevc ATS PRO
Confidence: 4.5 out of 5
Betting on Olympic ski jumping often requires balancing each athlete's form with the unpredictability of weather and Olympic nerves. In this instance, Nika Prevc’s sustained excellence and multiple victories give her a clear edge on paper. She has been the leading jumper across World Cup stops and major events, and that momentum is hard to overlook even on the Olympic stage. While Prevc had to settle for silver on the normal hill, I think she'll atone for that and win gold on the large hill.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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