2026 Olympic Women's Curling Tournament Prediction & Preview
Updated July 9, 2026
The women’s curling tournament at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina is expected to be a battle between two countries for gold. With teams from around the globe having battled through qualification events and world championships, the field features two clear favorites, while the rest of the world tries to catch up to them. Here, I break down the field and give you my Olympic women's curling prediction in the betting markets.
These are the latest available outright gold medal betting odds for the women’s curling competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics:
One of the most talked-about storylines in the women’s curling tournament is the prospect of redemption for teams with strong world championship pedigrees. Canada enters the event with confidence after winning the 2025 World Women’s Curling Championship in Uijeongbu. Led by skip Rachel Homan, that victory gave Canada back-to-back world titles and showcased their ability to handle the pressure of big matches. As a result, Canada is the consensus favorite on most betting boards going into the Olympics.
Switzerland represents one of Canada’s main rivals on paper and on the ice. The Swiss squad has dominated world curling over recent years with multiple consecutive world titles, even if those streaks were recently snapped by Canada’s success. Their consistency and experience make them a team to watch for a medal, particularly with players such as Alina Pätz making shots consistently.
Sweden’s women’s team also figures prominently in the medal chase, with many sportsbooks placing them behind only Canada and Switzerland in terms of their gold medal odds. Olympic gold medalist Anna Hasselborg has the veteran resume to lead a deep Swedish squad capable of pressuring for a podium finish. Sweden’s own continental results, including European championships, bolster their case as a legitimate contender.
Beyond those three favorites, countries like South Korea, Denmark, and China sit further down the odds board but have shown potential in recent international play. Great Britain and the United States enter with longer odds, partly due to inconsistency in head-to-head play against the elite European contingent.
Canada — Long regarded as a curling powerhouse, Canada’s women have returned to the top of the world rankings with recent world championship results. Their blend of strategic acumen and shot-making execution can swing important ends in their favor.
Switzerland — Though recently defeated by Canada at the world championships, Switzerland’s history and consistency make them a top medal contender. Their ability to manage the scoreboard and minimize mistakes under Olympic pressure gives bettors confidence that they can rise to the gold medal challenge, or at least secure silver or bronze.
Sweden — Sweden’s Olympic pedigree and past successes cannot be overlooked. While not priced as short as Canada or Switzerland, a strong tactical game and experience on the biggest stage keep Sweden in the medal conversation. Their team chemistry and ability to make late-game shots often push them into medal positions.
South Korea — South Korea has improved in recent seasons. They have the potential to mix up the medal picture, especially if they can string together victories against higher-ranked opponents early in round robin play. They likely won't threaten for gold, but could be a surprising medalist in some capacity.
Japan and China — These Asian teams are priced longer on the board, but both have accelerated their development programs and shown flashes against top-tier opponents in recent international events. A breakthrough run to a medal might be unlikely, but upsets are possible in the round robin phase.
Pick: Canada to win gold ATS PRO
Confidence: 4 out of 5
Canada’s women’s team arrives with momentum from recent world championship victories and a well-tested roster capable of executing under pressure. Relative to other top contenders, Canada’s tactical discipline and track record of beating Switzerland and other elite squads give them a slight edge in win probability. Switzerland remains a worthy challenger but can be vulnerable to well-timed strategic aggression by Canada. Sweden presents the next best shot at podium success behind those two, but Canada’s recent head-to-head measurements tilt the balance in their favor. I'll take the Canadians to win gold in one of their national sports.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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