The Dartmouth Big Green head to Fairfield on Friday to take on the Sacred Heart Pioneers in a non-conference college basketball matchup. Dartmouth comes into this game with a .500 record for the season, while Sacred Heart is 4-7 and looking for answers in an early start at home. Before this game tips off on Friday morning, continue reading to get my Dartmouth vs Sacred Heart prediction in college hoops.
Our Dartmouth vs Sacred Heart Pick
- Pick: Sacred Heart -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dartmouth Big Green @ Sacred Heart Pioneers
- Date & Time: December 19, 2025, 11:00 AM ET
- Venue: William H. Pitt Center, Fairfield, Connecticut
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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Key Storylines
- Dartmouth sits at 5-5 overall and has relied heavily on playing uptempo basketball. They rank 57th out of 365 Division I men's basketball teams in adjusted tempo, according to KenPom. They will try to speed up the Pioneers and get them out of their comfort zone in this contest.
- Sacred Heart is 4-7 but has played better at home, where they are 2-1 on the season so far. Dartmouth is 2-3 in their road games this season, and all of that could add up to help Sacred Heart in this game despite the Pioneers entering with an inferior record.
- Both teams average just over 77 points per game, yet neither ranks well defensively in opponent field goal percentage. We could be in for a high-scoring game in this contest, as both teams try to feast on an opposing defense that has struggled to find consistent stops.
- Dartmouth comes into this game on a two-game winning streak. They have defeated Boston University and Holy Cross in their last two outings. The Big Green will try to get a third straight win over a small-conference opponent in the Northeast.
- Sacred Heart has played just two home games against Division I opponents this season. They defeated Holy Cross and lost to Iona on their home floor. This game will give them a great chance to get to 2-1 at home against Division I foes.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams are 2-2 against each other all-time.
- The most recent meeting between these programs was an 81-76 Dartmouth win in November of 2024.
- Dartmouth is 4-5 against the spread going into this matchup.
- Sacred Heart is 5-5 against the spread going into Friday morning.
- The over has hit in 5 of Dartmouth's first 9 games with an available total.
- The under is 6-4 in games involving Sacred Heart this year.
Dartmouth vs Sacred Heart Model Projection
Score Projection: Dartmouth 77 – Sacred Heart 80
Win Probability: Dartmouth 46%, Sacred Heart 54%
Final Thoughts
I'm going to take Sacred Heart to win this game and cover the spread as a slight favorite on their home court. The Big Green have played one of the weaker non-conference schedules in college basketball, according to KenPom. I'm not willing to overreact to the recent two-game winning streak of Dartmouth. I'll take the Pioneers to win on their home floor and drop Dartmouth back under the .500 mark for the 2025-26 season.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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