The St. John’s Red Storm will square off against the Harvard Crimson on Tuesday night at Carnesecca Arena in Queens. St. John’s has posted a 7-4 record but is coming off a disappointing loss to Kentucky that cost them a spot in the Associated Press top 25 poll. Harvard is 6-6 and will try to match up with St. John’s inside despite some physical disadvantages. Before tip-off from New York City, you can continue reading to find my Harvard vs St. John's prediction.
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St. John’s enters this game with momentum from a Big East opener victory over DePaul after a chaotic non-conference schedule. The Johnnies took losses to ranked teams like Alabama, Iowa State, and Kentucky. But Rick Pitino's team also got wins over teams like Baylor and Ole Miss. The Red Storm have excelled offensively this season, averaging 85.9 points per game, and they have a 6-1 record at home. Their scoring is anchored by Bryce Hopkins and Zuby Ejiofor, both capable of impacting the paint and perimeter.
Harvard enters this game as a middling 6-6 team that has oscillated between impressive offensive outings and inconsistent defensive efforts. The Crimson’s senior-laden core features Robert Hinton as the leading scoring option, averaging 16.8 points per game. Hinton regularly gets support from Chandler Pigge and Tey Barbour and will need all the help he can get to help keep his team in this game.
Harvard shot a season-best field goal percentage and locked down Holy Cross in its most recent outing, ending a two-game losing streak. However, Harvard’s road performance has been concerning, with the Crimson holding a 2-4 away record. Its frontcourt size is limited compared to the frontcourt of St. John’s.
Score Projection: St. John's 92 – Harvard 74
Win Probability: St. John's 93%, Harvard 7%
St. John's should be able to win handily in this game to rebound from their disappointing second-half performance against Kentucky. But I'm going to take the points with the Harvard Crimson in this contest, as Harvard's respectable defense and slow pace of play should help them remain competitive throughout this one.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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