The Providence Friars visit the Marquette Golden Eagles on Monday in a critical Big East showdown for two desperate teams. Providence (9-9, 2-5 Big East) arrives in Milwaukee coming off a morale-boosting win over Creighton, while Marquette (6-13, 1-7 Big East) is trying to halt a three-game losing streak. Who will get the win in this battle of struggling Big East squads? Continue reading to find my Providence vs Marquette prediction below.
Our Providence vs Marquette Pick
Pick:
Marquette ML ATS PRO
Confidence:
3/5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Providence Friars @ Marquette Golden Eagles
Date & Time: January 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
Providence enters this game with some momentum after a 93-88 victory over Creighton in which freshman Stefan Vaaks scored a career-high 24 points and Jamier Jones added a double-double. The Friars lead the Big East in scoring (88.9 ppg) and excel at free throws and offensive rebounding, but they have struggled defensively and are 2-5 in conference play. Top scorer Jason Edwards, averaging 17.2 ppg, has missed the last two games with a foot injury and remains questionable for this contest. That is something huge to watch going into this one.
Marquette has won just one conference game and is shooting a modest 41.1% from the field this season. Guard Sean Jones is out with a foot issue, though forward Ben Gold returned from an ankle injury in their recent loss to DePaul. Marquette has won the past four meetings against Providence and owns the series edge, but this season’s struggles have made covering spreads difficult for them with any sort of regularity.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Marquette holds a historical advantage in the series and swept Providence last season, winning both meetings by double figures.
Marquette is 4-14-1 against the spread so far this season.
Providence comes into this contest with a 10-8 record against the spread this year.
The over is 13-5 in games involving the Friars this season.
Marquette is 10-9 to the over so far this year.
Providence vs Marquette Model Projection
Score Projection: Providence 79 – Marquette 82 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Providence 47%, Marquette 53% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
My projections have this game as a tight matchup between two teams that could really use a win in Big East play. I'll go with Marquette to win this matchup on their home floor, though it's hard to feel truly confident about either of these teams performing based on what we have seen from them so far this season and especially during Big East play.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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