The Atlantic 10 showdown between the Saint Louis Billikens and the Dayton Flyers on Tuesday is set to be an intriguing matchup at UD Arena in Dayton. Saint Louis enters this contest as one of the most efficient offenses in the nation, with a 25‑2 record and firm control atop the conference standings. Meanwhile, Dayton has been strong at home this season and will look to defend its floor and build momentum heading into the final stretch of league play. You can find my Saint Louis vs Dayton prediction right here before this important game tips off.
Our Saint Louis vs Dayton Pick
Pick: Dayton +5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Saint Louis Billikens @ Dayton Flyers
Date & Time: Tuesday, February 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Venue: UD Arena, Dayton, Ohio
Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Saint Louis (25‑2, 13‑1 A‑10) leads the Atlantic 10 and features one of the nation’s most productive offenses, averaging over 90 points per game. Saint Louis has shot 51.7% from the field this season and scores with balance across the roster. Their scoring margin is among the best in Division I.
Dayton (18‑9, 9‑5 A‑10) is 13‑2 at home and looks for a fourth straight home win. The Flyers’ scoring sits in the mid‑70s while their three‑point output and defense provide avenues to compete against a high‑octane Billikens’ attack.
In the first meeting on January 30, Saint Louis dominated Dayton 102‑71 at home, with Trey Green leading the charge. That result highlighted the scoring gulf between these squads, though Dayton has performed better at home and in recent games.
Key Players
Saint Louis Billikens
Robbie Avila – SLU’s leading scorer at about 12.7 points per game with 4.2 assists, providing leadership and playmaking. He shoots efficiently from the field and is central to the Billikens’ offensive rhythm.
Trey Green – A dynamic scorer who poured in 23 points in their earlier meeting versus Dayton and has been a key threat from deep. His perimeter scoring is a major advantage versus Dayton’s defense.
Dion Brown – The team’s leading rebounder with around 5.7 boards per game, Brown’s work on the glass helps sustain possessions and generate second‑chance points.
Dayton Flyers
Javon Bennett – Dayton’s primary wing scorer, averaging roughly 15.9 points per game and connecting on around 2.3 made threes. His scoring ability is vital for Dayton to keep pace with SLU’s offense.
Deshayne Montgomery – Montgomery’s efficiency at the rim and midrange adds balance to Dayton’s attack.
Stat Comparison
Stat
Saint Louis
Dayton
Points per game
90.1
76.1
Points allowed per game
68.1
71.0
Team Field Goal %
52%
45%
Rebounds per game
41.9
33.0
Assists per game
19.0
14.3
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
Earlier this season Saint Louis throttled Dayton 102‑71 in their first meeting.
Dayton has historically performed well at UD Arena, entering this game 13‑2 at home.
Dayton is 12-15 against the spread this season, while Saint Louis is 16-8-2 ATS on the season.
Saint Louis vs Dayton Model Projection
Score Projection: Saint Louis 79 – Dayton 75 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Saint Louis 66%, Dayton 34% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
I'm going to take the points with Dayton in this matchup in the A10. The Flyers are a tough out at home and they should make life difficult on a Billikens team that is 1-1 in its last two games and needed a late collapse by VCU last time out just to reach that point.
Affiliate DisclosureATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
