Oklahoma vs Texas Pick & Prediction - 10/11/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
Oklahoma and Texas will meet in the annual Red River Rivalry game on Saturday afternoon. Oklahoma comes into this game ranked sixth in the country and looking to stay undefeated. Texas has had a disappointing season so far and will try to turn things around against their rivals. Here, you can find my Oklahoma vs Texas prediction before kickoff in this huge game.
Odds | |
|---|---|
Spread | Texas –1.5 |
Moneyline | Texas –110 / Oklahoma -110 |
Total | 45.5 |
Mateer has been one of the best players in college football when healthy. He has thrown for over 1,200 yards this season with six passing touchdowns and three interceptions. He is also a gifted runner and will try to impact the game in multiple ways as well.
Arch Manning has had mixed results for Texas, with growing criticisms of his mechanics becoming a major story this season. If Texas’ offensive line can hold, Manning’s arm talent will have to stand on its own to win this game.
Score Projection: Texas 24 – Oklahoma 28
Win Probability: Texas 49%, Oklahoma 51%
This edition of the Red River Rivalry game will have a huge impact on the SEC standings and the College Football Playoff race. I think that Oklahoma has the inside track to get the win, so long as Mateer is able to make it through the game without having to exit due to injury. Oklahoma's defense should make life miserable for Manning and the Longhorns and the Sooners should stay unbeaten after this contest is completed.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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