Texas State vs Marshall Pick & Prediction - 10/18/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Texas State Bobcats and Marshall Thundering Herd are both 3-3 on the season going into this weekend. Both teams are halfway to bowl eligibility with half of their season still to play. Which team will get the 4-3 with a win here? Continue reading to find my Texas State vs Marshall prediction for this contest.
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
Texas State –3 | Texas State –145, Marshall +125 | 64.5 |
Texas State's Brad Jackson has completed roughly 70% of his passes, amassing 1,342 yards with seven touchdowns to just one interception. He also has 336 rushing yards with seven rushing touchdowns. The dual-threat quarterback gives Texas State some offensive flexibility.
Marshall’s Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has been pinpoint accurate. He is 68 of 89 passing for 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also has 260 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. His careful decision-making and ability to avoid mistakes could help Marshall win outright as a home underdog.
Score Projection: Texas State 31 – Marshall 34
Win Probability: Texas State 45%, Marshall 55%
Marshall is a field goal underdog at home in this game. But I think that they have a great chance to win straight up here. The Thundering Herd don't make mistakes with their passing game and the ability to avoid throwing interceptions should help them hang around throughout this game. I'll take Marshall to cover the spread as an underdog here and would not be surprised at all if they managed to win this game outright.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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