NFL
Seattle’s statistical profile is stronger across the core efficiency categories available here. The Seahawks scored 28.4 points per game last season and allowed 17.2, while Tennessee produced 16.7 and allowed 28.1. Seattle also held the edge in yards per play, 5.8 to 4.4, and posted a better turnover margin, minus-3 compared with minus-5. That combination points to a team that has been more reliable at creating separation and limiting mistakes. From a market perspective, the Titans are laying 4.5 at most books, but the best available spread price is still only -105 to -110, which suggests the market has not found a clean reason to push this number higher. In preseason, that matters because margin favorites often struggle to justify a full touchdown-type handicap when rotations are uneven. Seattle’s 15-5 ATS mark and Tennessee’s 7-9-1 ATS record also reinforce the idea that the Seahawks profile better as a live underdog in this range.
Seattle enters with stronger recent offensive production and better defensive suppression. The Seahawks averaged 351.4 total yards per game, 228.1 passing yards, and 123.3 rushing yards, while their defense allowed just 285.6 total yards and 17.2 points per game. Tennessee’s offense was much less productive at 259.6 total yards and 16.7 points per game, and the Titans defense allowed 345.1 total yards and 28.1 points per game. Those splits make Seattle the more balanced side on paper. The turnover numbers also lean Seattle’s way. The Seahawks finished at minus-3 in turnover margin, but Tennessee was worse at minus-5, with only 14 takeaways against 19 giveaways. That kind of ball-security gap is important in preseason games, where backup quarterbacks and younger skill players often create short fields and quick swings. Tennessee’s stronger home position gives it a path to control the game, but the Seahawks have the cleaner statistical base and a better chance to stay inside the number.
Tennessee should have enough at home to win a lower-scoring preseason game, but Seattle looks like the better side against the spread. The Seahawks have the stronger scoring profile, better yards-per-play numbers, and the cleaner turnover margin, which supports a close game even if Tennessee edges the final score. Final call: Tennessee Titans 21, Seattle Seahawks 17, with Seattle covering +4.5 and the total landing just under the market number.
