New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Will Mets Turnaround Continue Saturday Night?
Updated July 9, 2026
The New York Mets head into Saturday night looking to keep their recent surge going after grabbing a 3-1 extra-innings win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday. New York has won 5 of its last 6 games, while Arizona continues to search for answers during a rough stretch that has seen the club drop 12 of its last 16 contests. Here, I break down this National League contest and make my Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction in the betting markets.
Clay Holmes has quietly been one of the more effective starters in the National League through the opening stretch of the season. The right-hander enters with a 4-2 record and a 1.69 ERA, and his command has improved dramatically compared to previous years. Holmes has limited hard contact consistently and has helped stabilize a Mets rotation that needed dependable innings.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will go with Merrill Kelly, who has struggled through a brutal start to the season. Kelly enters at 1-3 with a 9.95 ERA and has had trouble keeping the ball in the park while also allowing plenty of traffic on the bases. The veteran right-hander remains capable of putting together a quality outing, but current form strongly favors the Mets in this pitching matchup.
The biggest edge entering Saturday belongs on the mound. Holmes has been reliable nearly every time out, while Kelly has struggled badly against both contact hitters and power bats. Arizona’s offense also has not done enough recently to offset pitching problems, and that is a dangerous combination against a Mets staff that has kept games under control. With that in mind, I'll take the Mets to win a second straight game in this series over the Diamondbacks.
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