Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva UFC 324 Prediction - 1/24/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
The featherweight fight between Arnold Allen and Jean Silva at UFC 324 on Saturday will open the main card at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This fight pits a seasoned contender returning from a long layoff against a powerful knockout artist looking to rebound from his first UFC loss. Silva is the favorite going into this fight. Can he get back into the win column in Vegas? Get my answer to that question below, as I make my Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva prediction.
Pick: | Under 2.5 Rounds ATS PRO |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
Arnold Allen | Jean Silva | |
|---|---|---|
Age | 32 | 29 |
Height | 5’8″ | 5’7″ |
Reach | 70″ | 69″ |
Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
Record | 20-3-0 | 16-3-0 |
Arnold Allen enters this bout as a veteran of high-level UFC competition. He is known for his technical striking, excellent jab, and sound defense. Ranked inside the top-10 of the featherweight division, Allen hasn’t fought since a win over Giga Chikadze in mid-2024, spending much of 2025 on the sidelines due to injury. That extended layoff raises questions about how sharp he will look after a 16-month break, though he has reportedly undergone a physical transformation during his time off. Allen has earned over half of his career wins by decision and he will try to grind out another win in his return to the octagon here.
Jean Silva brings an aggressive, pressure-oriented style to the octagon with major finishing power. Silva’s record shows an overwhelming preference for stoppages, with 15 of his 16 victories coming by knockout or submission. Despite a setback in his most recent fight against Diego Lopes, where he was stopped by a spinning elbow, Silva’s striking output and accuracy remain excellent. His willingness to engage and push the pace forces opponents to fight on his terms, and that dynamic could be particularly threatening against someone like Allen who is returning from a long absence and might start slowly.
In technical terms, Silva lands strikes at a higher percentage and with more volume per minute, while Allen boasts advantages in reach and has more varied fight experience. Both fighters have strengths that can decide this bout. Allen’s disciplined boxing and defensive wrestling could neutralize Silva’s aggressive early attacks, but Silva’s power means a single clean shot could end the fight at almost any moment. Takedown exchanges do not appear to be the focal point for either fighter, suggesting this bout may be contested primarily on the feet.
My best bet for this fight is for it to end in under 2.5 rounds. Silva has seen all but three of his career fights end inside the distance and we should see another explosive ending to this fight, whether he wins or loses. I'm expecting this fight to play out with both fighters on their feet for the majority and for one fighter to get a win by knockout before the midway point of the third round.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
