Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas UFC 324 Prediction - 1/24/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
With the UFC’s first major event of 2026 set for Saturday, all eyes turn to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas for a women’s flyweight matchup as Brazil’s Natalia Silva battles former two-time strawweight champion Rose Namajunas. Silva enters as one of the hottest fighters in the division, and is ranked second in the flyweight rankings. Namajunas will try to take her down to cement her place at 125 pounds and keep her dream of winning titles in two weight classes alive. The winner could be next in line for a shot at the reigning flyweight champion, and you can find my Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas prediction below.
Pick: Natalia Silva by decision
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Statistic | Natalia Silva | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
Age | 28 | 33 |
Height | 5’4” | 5’5” |
Reach | 65” | 65” |
Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
Record | 19-5-1 | 15-7 |
Natalia Silva has emerged as one of the most consistent athletes in the women’s flyweight division. A 7-0 UFC run has showcased her ability to handle increasingly difficult competition, including victories over former champions and top contenders. Silva’s style is defined by her volume and creativity from the outside, mixing powerful kicks and punches with southpaw angles that disrupt the rhythm of her opponents.
Silva has fought to decision in her last four outings, demonstrating excellent cardio and energy management that has allowed her to maintain her output over three rounds. A win over Namajunas here would be a huge statement, even if Thug Rose is past her prime to some degree.
Rose Namajunas brings a decorated UFC career into this matchup. A former strawweight champion twice over, she has faced some of the most elite competition in MMA history. Since moving up to flyweight, she has been solid, going 3-2 at the new weight class while continuing to bring technical striking and high-level grappling. Namajunas is known for her ability to weather adversity and find openings when opponents become predictable. Namajunas has won three of her last four fights, but she is an underdog here and will try to overcome that to pick up a win in this fight.
Stylistically, this fight could hinge on whether Silva can keep the fight at her preferred distance, where volume striking and pace favor her, or if Namajunas manages to drag exchanges into clinch or grappling exchanges. Silva has shown improvements in takedown defense and awareness to fend off aggressive forward pressure, but Namajunas’ experience could make her a dangerous presence in close quarters.
If this were prime Thug Rose, I think she would be able to simply disrupt Silva's striking and get her to the ground, where she would boss the fight over the course of three rounds. But Silva is on the way up and should continue her unbeaten run as a member of the UFC roster here. I'll go with Silva to win this fight by decision and to likely set herself up with a future title shot.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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