Monday night’s game between the Sacramento Kings and Indiana Pacers features two struggling teams looking for a spark. With both clubs near the bottom of their respective conferences, this game is a great opportunity for both sides to pick up a much-needed win. Before the action begins from Indianapolis, keep reading to find my best bet, as I make my Kings vs Pacers prediction.
Our Kings vs Pacers Pick
Pick: Over 234.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers
- Date & Time: Monday, December 8, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Pacers are coming in with a slight boost in confidence after a recent 120–105 win over the Bulls, powered by a 36-point, 10-rebound night from Pascal Siakam and strong shooting from Bennedict Mathurin. The Pacers will look for a second straight win over a struggling opponent by claiming this game on their home floor.
- The Kings got a win in their last game on the road over the Miami Heat. However, their record sits near the bottom in the Western Conference. They have allowed 122.3 points per game on the season and they need to tighten things up on the defensive end of the floor if they want a shot at winning a second game in a row.
- Sacramento is missing Domantas Sabonis, while Dennis Schroder and Keegan Murray are questionable. That weakens their ball-handling and rebounding acumen. Indiana is dealing with the absences of Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, and Ben Sheppard. They are also missing Tyrese Haliburton for the season with an Achilles injury.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- In head-to-head matchups over the past season, the Pacers hold a slight edge. They beat the Kings 111–109 in Indianapolis in March 2025. The last meeting in Sacramento ended with a convincing Indiana win. But this is the first meeting of this season between the two sides.
- Against the spread, Indiana is 12-11 this season. Sacramento has gone 8-15 against the spread in 23 games.
- The under has cashed in 14 of the 23 games involving the Pacers so far this season.
- The Kings have stayed under the total in 13 of their first 23 games.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop |
|---|
Pascal Siakam | Over 25.5 Points |
Bennedict Mathurin | Under 21.5 Points |
Andrew Nembhard | Over 16.5 Points |
Kings vs Pacers Model Projection
Projected Score: Kings 120 – Pacers 122
Win Probability: Kings 37%, Pacers 63%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this game is for the over to cash at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. I'm not brave enough to back either of these teams to win this game. Instead, I'll put my trust in both of these defenses to continue struggling to string together stops. Both teams are in the bottom 10 in the league in defensive rating for the year. I'll kick back and hope for a game that features a ton of scoring on both sides.
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