San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Props - 12/25/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder will square off in one of the most interesting games on the NBA Christmas Day schedule on Thursday at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder have been far and away the best team in the NBA so far this season, but the Spurs have owned them early in the year and will try to upset the defending champions again in this contest. Before tip-off from OKC, continue reading to get my Spurs vs Thunder prediction for this Christmas matchup.
Pick: | Thunder -9.5 |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
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Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Stephon Castle | Over 16.5 Points |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Over 32.5 Points |
Victor Wembanyama | Under 8.5 Rebounds |
Score Projection: San Antonio Spurs 113 – Oklahoma City Thunder 125
Win Probability: San Antonio Spurs 38% | Oklahoma City Thunder 62%
The Spurs are 2-0 against the Thunder so far this season, but it is worth noting that the Spurs haven't played a game in OKC yet this season. The Thunder should avenge their previous two losses to San Antonio at Paycom Center, where OKC is 14-0 on the year. I'll lay the points with the Thunder, as they should win by double-digits on Christmas Day.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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