Drake Maye Super Bowl LX Player Prop Predictions


The New England Patriots took a huge leap forward this season and Drake Maye's improvement was a huge reason for that. Maye played like an MVP this season and now he is just one win away from grabbing his first Super Bowl ring. Before Maye and the Patriots take the field against the Seattle Seahawks, I've compiled the odds for Drake Maye player props and have made my predictions in his prop markets below.
Prop | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
220.5 Passing Yards | Over (-113) | Under (-111) |
1.5 Passing TDs | Over (+122) | Under (-155) |
0.5 Interceptions | Over (-147) | Under (+115) |
19.5 Pass Completions | Over (-133) | Under (+104) |
29.5 Pass Attempts | Over (-120) | Under (-106) |
Longest Completion: 33.5 Yards | Over (-115) | Under (-115) |
37.5 Rush Yards | Over (-112) | Under (-112) |
6.5 Rush Attempts | Over (-144) | Under (+113) |
First TD Scorer | +1400 | |
2+ Touchdowns | +2500 | |
Anytime TD Scorer | +285 | |
Super Bowl MVP | +240 |
Up first, I will go with the under on Maye's passing yardage prop at 220.5 yards. Maye has stayed under this total in two of his first three games during this postseason. To be fair, the under in the AFC Championship Game against the Denver Broncos was a product of a snowstorm in the second half of that game, which derailed the passing game of both teams. But I think we will see another under in this matchup for Maye.
The main reason I'm expecting Maye to stay under his passing yardage total in this game is the defense of the Seahawks. Seattle struggled on defense in the NFC Championship Game against the Los Angeles Rams against another MVP candidate at quarterback in Matthew Stafford. But Stafford has much better weapons at wide receiver than Maye and that will help the Seahawks keep Maye in check in this matchup.
I am also concerned about the pressure that Maye will be under in this game. This is his first career Super Bowl appearance and with that typically comes a more conservative game script. We should see the Patriots try to establish the run and ease Maye into this game, which will lead to a more modest passing yardage number from the Super Bowl debutant.
My second prop bet for Drake Maye is for him to land under 0.5 interceptions in Super Bowl LX. With an anticipated game script that leans more conservative comes an expectation that Maye will do a good job of keeping the football out of harm's way to some extent. I think we will see Maye avoid making any disastrous decisions, and there should be some value in the under in this market.
Maye has thrown two interceptions in the playoffs so far, throwing one against the Chargers on Wild Card weekend and one against the Texans in the Divisional playoffs. But the Patriots were much more willing to throw the football in those games than I expect them to be here.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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