The Houston Texans head to Lumen Field to face the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football in the final game of Week 7. Both teams are coming off wins in their last games and will try to keep rolling in the Pacific Northwest this week. Before kickoff from Seattle, continue reading to get my thoughts on this Monday night matchup, as well as my Texans vs Seahawks prediction.
Our Texans vs Seahawks Pick
- Pick: Seattle Seahawks -3
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks
- Date & Time: Monday, October 20, 2025, 10:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Texans vs Seahawks Odds
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|
SEA -3 | SEA -185, HOU +155 | 41.5 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle's Defensive Dominance: The Seahawks' defense has been a force, with seven sacks and 17 quarterback hits in their recent win over Jacksonville. Veterans like DeMarcus Lawrence and emerging stars like Byron Murphy are leading the charge.
- Houston's Offensive Surge: Quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown for six touchdowns in his last two games, showing significant improvement after a slow start. Wide receiver Nico Collins is also stepping up, with 312 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season. The Texans have won two games in a row, though those wins came against the Titans and a Ravens team that was without Lamar Jackson.
- Well Rested Texans: Houston comes into this game off its bye week in Week 6. It will be interesting to see how the bye impacts the Texans, who were playing their best football of the season before their bye.
Quarterback Play
- C.J. Stroud (HOU): Stroud enters this game with 1,076 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions. He is having a down year by his lofty standards but is trending in the right direction over the last few weeks.
- Sam Darnold (SEA): Going into this game, Sam Darnold has thrown for 1,541 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions. Darnold has been efficient and is supported by a strong offensive line and playmakers like Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The acquisition of Darnold by Seattle has looked very smart, especially when you compare his performance to the turnover-prone play of former Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith with the Raiders.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Seattle is 4-2 against the spread for the season going into this week.
- Houston is 2-3 against the spread entering Week 7.
- The Seahawks have gone 3-3 in the over/under market so far this season.
- The Texans have had four of their first five games of the season land under their respective totals.
- Seattle leads the all-time series 4-1. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2021.
Texans vs Seahawks Model Projection
- Score Projection: Seahawks 24 – Texans 17
- Win Probability: Seahawks 53%, Texans 47%
Final Thoughts
The Texans have played improved football of late. But I'm not entirely bought in on Houston given how soft the competition has been during their recent two-game winning streak. I'll take Seattle to win this game at home and to cover the number to close out Week 7 of the NFL season.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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