Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction - 12/15/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Miami Dolphins head to Acrisure Stadium to face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Miami has rebounded from a slow start to move to within a game of the .500 mark for the season, while Pittsburgh sits atop the AFC North and is fighting to cement its own playoff positioning. Before kickoff from the Steel City, you can continue reading to get my Dolphins vs Steelers prediction on Monday night.
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Market | Odds |
|---|---|
Spread | Steelers -3 |
Moneyline | Pittsburgh -166 | Miami +140 |
Total | Over/Under 42.5 |
The Dolphins have surged lately after an early-season slump, riding a four-game winning streak into Week 15. Their recent success has kept their postseason hopes alive, but they are just 2-4 on the road and one of those road wins came against the lowly Jets last week. This will be a big test for Miami as they try to prove that they can hang around in the AFC playoff picture.
The Steelers have played more steadily, sitting atop the AFC North at 7-6 and aiming to solidify their spot atop the standings with a home victory. Pittsburgh is facing some adversity after T.J. Watt underwent emergency surgery for a collapsed lung and has been officially ruled out for this game. His absence leaves Pittsburgh’s defense without its most disruptive force.
On Miami’s side, running back De’Von Achane suffered a rib injury but is trending toward playing. Achane is the most versatile weapon on offense for the Dolphins, especially with Tyreek Hill out of action. His availability will give the Dolphins a lift, especially without Watt on the field to chase Tua Tagovailoa around.
Consistency has eluded Tua Tagovailoa this season for the Dolphins. Tagovailoa has thrown for 2,407 yards and 18 touchdowns. But he has also thrown 14 interceptions and he needs to do a better job of taking care of the ball if the Dolphins are going to win this contest.
Aaron Rodgers is the starter at quarterback for the Steelers. Rodgers has 20 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions this year. He is banged-up late in the regular season and the Steelers will hope that he can keep it together in the cold to help them get a huge win here.
Score Projection: Steelers 24 – Dolphins 23
Win Probability: Steelers 52%, Dolphins 48%
The absence of TJ Watt is going to be a huge factor going into this game. Watt's absence will make it easier for Tagovailoa to throw the football in this game. And while Pittsburgh should still ultimately pull this game out at home, I'm going to take the field goal with the resurgent Dolphins on Monday night.
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