New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction - 12/7/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The New Orleans Saints head into Week 14 as sizable underdogs when they travel to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. With a 2–10 record, the Saints are officially eliminated from playoff contention. The Bucs are sitting at 7–5 and fighting for positioning in the NFC South. They have a clear incentive to take care of business at home here, but will they? Continue reading for my Saints vs Buccaneers prediction.
Pick: Buccaneers –8.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
TB –8.5 | TB –425 / NO +330 | O/U 41.5 |
Tampa Bay will go with Baker Mayfield at quarterback. He has thrown for 2,600 yards on the season with 19 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. The potential return of Evans and McMillan could restore some much-needed vertical threat, which should help Mayfield open up the field even more effectively.
For New Orleans, offensive production has largely stalled. Their quarterback rotation has included Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough, both of whom have struggled to propel the offense consistently. Shough will try to continue getting used to life in the NFL in this game.
Score Projection: Saints 16 – Buccaneers 26
Win Probability: Saints 18%, Buccaneers 82%
The Bucs should have no problem winning this game convincingly at home. Barring a defensive meltdown from Tampa, the Bucs should cover the spread here and maintain their advantage in the NFC South over the idle Carolina Panthers.
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