Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction - 12/14/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
Sunday’s NFC East matchup between the Washington Commanders and the New York Giants in Week 15 of the NFL season pits two struggling franchises against each other in a game with draft positioning implications. The Giants (2-11) are sitting in position to pick first if they keep losing games, while Washington is just a game ahead of the Giants in the standings. Before this game between the bottom two teams in the NFC East, keep reading to get my Commanders vs Giants prediction.
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This Week 15 matchup finds both NFC East rivals far removed from playoff contention and auditioning players for future roles while jockeying for draft positioning. The Giants have dropped seven straight, while the Commanders are losers of eight consecutive games. Unless there is a tie in this game, someone is going to end their long losing streak with a victory in this contest.
Washington’s offense was shut out last week, and they are dealing with the loss of starting quarterback Jayden Daniels and tight end Zach Ertz. Giants rookie QB Jaxson Dart has shown flashes, including some solid showings against playoff-caliber teams, but inconsistency from the young quarterback and defensive injuries have hindered New York’s progress.
Weather at MetLife Stadium could be a factor in December, though forecast models suggest manageable cold conditions rather than severe impacts on play from precipitation. The home crowd and an extra week of rest give New York a slight edge in terms of preparation, but that hasn't helped the Giants much yet this year.
For Washington, the absence of Jayden Daniels looms large as he remains out due to an elbow injury. Veteran Marcus Mariota is likely to start, but his performance this season (1-5 in starts) has been a factor in Washington’s offensive struggles and inability to sustain drives consistently. On the Giants’ side, Jaxson Dart has provided energy and occasional success. While New York’s offense has not produced many wins, Dart’s growth and comfort with his receivers give the Giants something to look forward to for the first time in years.
Score Projection: New York Giants 24 – Washington Commanders 20
Win Probability: New York Giants 56%, Washington Commanders 44%
I'm going to take the Giants to win and cover the spread at home in this matchup. The Commanders are simply trying to run out the clock on this season without Jayden Daniels under center, while the Giants have an incentive to try to win to build Jaxson Dart's confidence. Expect New York to win by a little over a field goal.
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