The Oklahoma Sooners and Arkansas Razorbacks will meet in an SEC contest on Tuesday night. Arkansas comes into this game in second place in the SEC standings and will try to get a key win on the road, while Oklahoma is at the bottom of the standings and will try to pull off an upset to kickstart their season. Here, I break down this matchup in college basketball and make my Arkansas vs Oklahoma prediction in college hoops.
Our Arkansas vs Oklahoma Pick
Pick: Oklahoma +2.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Oklahoma Sooners
Date & Time: Tuesday, January 27, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, Oklahoma
Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
Arkansas has won 3 of its last 4 games, including an 85-81 win over LSU and a 93-68 win over Vanderbilt. Oklahoma has dropped 5 straight, two of those in Norman, with an overtime loss at Missouri most recently.
The Razorbacks are averaging 89.6 points per game on 50% shooting, driven by Darius Acuff Jr at 20.2 points and 6.2 assists. Meleek Thomas and Trevon Brazile are also key contributors for John Calipari's team and they will all need to play well for Arkansas to continue their winning ways.
The Sooners’ guard play can steady the ship. Oklahoma’s Xzayvier Brown leads the team at 16.5 points and 3.4 assists per game, with Nijel Pack contributing significantly on offense as well. Mohamed Wague anchors the paint with 6.6 rebounds per game entering Tuesday night.
Oklahoma is 8-2 at home going into this matchup, while Arkansas is 1-3 on the road. While the Razorbacks have had the better season so far this year, the Sooners could have the advantage based on the home/road splits between these two teams.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Oklahoma is 9-5 all-time against Arkansas.
The Sooners have won the last two games against the Razorbacks.
Oklahoma is 7-12-1 against the spread going into this matchup.
Arkansas enters this game at 13-7 against the spread for the year.
The Sooners are 10-10 in the over/under market this year.
The Razorbacks have gone over the total in 11 of their 20 games.
Arkansas vs Oklahoma Model Projection
Score Projection: Arkansas 80 – Oklahoma 82
Win Probability: Arkansas 50%, Oklahoma 50%
Final Thoughts
This game is a coin flip as far as I'm concerned. But I'm going to take the points with the Sooners on their home floor. Arkansas has really struggled on the road this year. And while the Sooners might be the worst team in the SEC, they are also in a position to compete at home. Oklahoma could very well win outright here and I'll take the 2.5 points in what should be a good game in Norman.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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