Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction - 11/28/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Ole Miss Rebels (10–1) will head to Starkville to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5–6) in the 2025 Egg Bowl on Friday afternoon. There is much more than bragging rights on the line going into this game. The Rebels hope to cap off a stellar regular season and lock up a college‑playoff berth. The Bulldogs are fighting to become bowl‑eligible and send their seniors out with a win at home. Before this massive contest from Mississippi, continue reading to get my Ole Miss vs Mississippi State prediction.
Pick: Mississippi State +7.5
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At the helm for Ole Miss is senior signal-caller Trinidad Chambliss, who has delivered a consistent and efficient season. Chambliss has 2,657 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and just 3 interceptions. His 65.2% completion rate and ability to contribute on the ground gives the Rebels a multi-dimensional offense.
Mississippi State will go with senior QB Blake Shapen, who has passed for 2,433 yards with 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. That turnover rate is a concern, as Mississippi State can't afford to fall behind or lose out on crucial possessions in this contest. But Shapen has proven he can help the Bulldogs hang around against elite teams.
Score Projection: Ole Miss 34 – Mississippi State 28
Win Probability: Ole Miss 76%, Mississippi State 24%
Ole Miss is the better team going into this game. But the combination of pressure on them to win and make the playoff and the distractions regarding Lane Kiffin's situation could make this a tougher game than expected for the visitors. I'm going to take the points with Mississippi State, even though Ole Miss should pull this one out with their talent on the field.
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