San Diego State vs Fresno State Pick & Prediction - 10/25/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The San Diego State Aztecs and Fresno State Bulldogs will meet on Saturday afternoon in California. These teams both have winning records overall and in Mountain West Conference play this season. The Aztecs are looking to stay unbeaten in conference play, while the Bulldogs will attempt to end their unbeaten run. Before kickoff from Fresno, continue reading to get my San Diego State vs Fresno State prediction.
Score Projection: San Diego State 27 – Fresno State 25
Win Probability: San Diego State 55%, Fresno State 45%
This Mountain West Conference matchup is expected to be close, with both teams having strengths that could influence the outcome. San Diego State's defense and recent form make them slight favorites, but Fresno State's home-field advantage could give them the edge in the end. I think this is a field goal game at most and will take the points with Fresno State.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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