The UL Monroe Warhawks will take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in a Sun Belt West Division matchup on Saturday afternoon. Southern Miss enters the game as the clear favorite, riding a three-game winning streak and sitting atop the Sun Belt West standings. UL Monroe has struggled recently and will try to turn things around here. Before kickoff, continue reading to get my UL Monroe vs Southern Miss prediction.
Our UL Monroe vs Southern Miss Pick
- Pick: Southern Miss -13.5
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025, 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Southern Miss' Offensive Efficiency: Quarterback Braylon Braxton has been instrumental in the Golden Eagles' success. He has 1,711 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and only four interceptions. He has done a great job of getting Southern Miss back on the map in the Sun Belt this season.
- UL Monroe's Struggles on the Road: The Warhawks have faced challenges away from home, with a 2-15 straight-up record in their last 17 road games. Their inability to perform consistently on the road raises concerns heading into this matchup on the road against the leader in their Sun Belt division.
- Turnover Battle: Southern Miss has a +9 turnover margin, ranking 4th in the nation this season. UL Monroe sits at -5, ranking 116th. This disparity could be a decisive factor in the game's outcome.
Quarterback Play
- Braylon Braxton (Southern Miss): Braxton's leadership and efficiency have been key to the Golden Eagles' offensive success. His 14 touchdowns to just four interceptions prove he can make smart decisions under pressure.
- Aidan Armenta (UL Monroe): Armenta has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with consistency, throwing eight touchdowns against six interceptions.
Betting Trends
- Southern Miss: Southern Miss is 4-2-1 against the spread this season. The Golden Eagles have gone over the total in four of their seven games.
- UL Monroe: UL Monroe has gone 2-5 against the spread this year. They are 4-3 to the over going into this game.
UL Monroe vs Southern Miss Model Projection
- Score Projection: Southern Miss 34 – UL Monroe 20
- Win Probability: Southern Miss 85.4%, UL Monroe 14.6%
Final Thoughts
Southern Miss appears to have all of the advantages going into this game on their home turf. They have been better than UL Monroe on both sides of the ball and should get a win here to move to 4-0 in Sun Belt play. I'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles on their home turf in this matchup.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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